Happy Valley · 2022-11-30 · 19:46
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. HIGH RISE SOLDIER, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by N, with SIGHT HERO second and MR FUN third. Victory came as the 5.1 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER PC-/B2 1.09.22 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 5.1 | N |
| 2 | 6 | SIGHT HERO B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 3 | 6.1 | N |
| 3 | 7 | MR FUN TT1 M L Yeung · C S Shum | M L Yeung | C S Shum | 11 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PROSECCO H/SR L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 1 | 7.2 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE TT M Chadwick · P F Yiu | M Chadwick | P F Yiu | 4 | 8.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW V-/B2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 12 | FARSHAD CP H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 5 | 26.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 5 | BRILLIANT LIFE V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 6 | 44.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | COMPASSION SUPER B H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 9 | 6.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 23.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 1 | WINE AND WINE B/TT Y L Chung · T P Yung | Y L Chung | T P Yung | 7 | 7.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 10 | DAZZLING FELLOW XB1/TT- C L Chau · D J Hall | C L Chau | D J Hall | 12 | 86.0 | 5-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | ISLAND SHINE | 17.5% | 5.72 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | COMPASSION SUPER | 15.1% | 6.61 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | SIGHT HERO | 12.0% | 8.31 | 2 |
| 4 | 2 | HIGH RISE SOLDIER | 10.7% | 9.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 11 | DOUBLE SHOW | 9.9% | 10.09 | 6 |
| 6 | 8 | PROSECCO | 8.1% | 12.36 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 5.7% | 17.43 | 12 |
| 8 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE | 5.6% | 17.85 | 10 |
| 9 | 12 | FARSHAD | 4.8% | 20.77 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | BRILLIANT LIFE | 4.0% | 24.95 | 8 |
| 11 | 7 | MR FUN | 3.2% | 30.77 | 3 |
| 12 | 1 | WINE AND WINE | 3.2% | 31.28 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 51
PLACE
2 18
6 19.5
7 52.5
QUINELLA
2,6 152
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 50.5
2,7 115
6,7 153.5
FORECAST
2,6 232
TIERCE
2,6,7 1,657
TRIO
2,6,7 354
FIRST 4
2,6,7,8 1,020
QUARTET
2,6,7,8 14,836
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
12/2 436.5
12/6 55
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 38
A3 —