Happy Valley · 2022-11-30 · 20:52
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT 1.50.02 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY Led early C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | JUBILATION Closed strongly V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 5 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly B- K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 9 | 101.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | METHANE B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY B K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 11 | 22.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | GRAND POWER B L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 8 | 12.0 | ML |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-30 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FLYING SILVER, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C S Shum, won by 1/2, with FOXHUNTER WAY second and JUBILATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.0 favourite MEDIC ELITE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 15.9% | 6.28 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 15.3% | 6.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 12.7% | 7.84 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | METHANE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | SMART COUSIN | 7.6% | 13.21 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | JUBILATION | 6.8% | 14.74 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 6.1% | 16.27 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | DAILY BEAUTY | 5.7% | 17.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 0 | GRAND POWER | 5.6% | 17.95 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 3.9% | 25.58 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 2.8% | 35.97 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 42
PLACE
1 20
5 56
11 45
QUINELLA
1,11 468.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 190.5
1,11 129
5,11 377.5
FORECAST
1,11 891
TIERCE
1,11,5 11,539
TRIO
1,5,11 2,507
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 2,457
QUARTET
1,11,5,7 67,969
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/1,5,11 141,138
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20.5
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 309
8/11 288