跑馬地 · 2022-11-30 · 20:52
第 4場
2022-11-30跑馬地第4場，Class 5，途程1800米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的FLYING SILVER勝出，贏出1/2。FOXHUNTER WAY獲得亞軍；JUBILATION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.0倍大熱門MEDIC ELITE跑獲第4名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLYING SILVER 後段發力 CP/TT 1.50.02 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 4 | 4.2 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY 早段領放 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 12 | 16.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 5 | JUBILATION 後段發力 V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 10 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 7 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 7 | 4.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART COUSIN 後段發力 C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 3 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 2 | OWNERS' STAR 後段發力 B M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 6.9 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS B V Borges · R Gibson | V Borges | R Gibson | 5 | 12.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS 後段發力 B- K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 9 | 101.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | FORTUNE TRIPLE H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 6 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | METHANE B/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 12 | DAILY BEAUTY B K C Leung · C Fownes | K C Leung | C Fownes | 11 | 22.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | GRAND POWER B L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 8 | 12.0 | ML |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | OWNERS' STAR | 15.9% | 6.28 | 6 |
| 2 | 1 | FLYING SILVER | 15.3% | 6.52 | 1 |
| 3 | 7 | MEDIC ELITE | 12.7% | 7.84 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | METHANE | 12.7% | 7.90 | 10 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART COUSIN | 7.6% | 13.21 | 5 |
| 6 | 5 | JUBILATION | 6.8% | 14.74 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | FORTUNE TRIPLE | 6.1% | 16.27 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | DAILY BEAUTY | 5.7% | 17.61 | 11 |
| 9 | 6 | GRAND POWER | 5.6% | 17.95 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 4.9% | 20.39 | 2 |
| 11 | 8 | SUCCESS ALLSTARS | 3.9% | 25.58 | 7 |
| 12 | 3 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 2.8% | 35.97 | 8 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 42
PLACE
1 20
5 56
11 45
QUINELLA
1,11 468.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 190.5
1,11 129
5,11 377.5
FORECAST
1,11 891
TIERCE
1,11,5 11,539
TRIO
1,5,11 2,507
FIRST 4
1,5,7,11 2,457
QUARTET
1,11,5,7 67,969
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
4,8,11/1,5,11 141,138
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 20.5
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE
8/1 309
8/11 288