跑馬地 · 2022-11-30 · 21:21
第 5場
2022-11-30跑馬地第5場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由L Currie策騎、J Richards訓練的RATTAN KINGDOM勝出，贏出1-3/4。OWNERS' PRAISE獲得亞軍；HAPPY TRIO獲得季軍。頭馬以2.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT 1.09.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 4 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 63.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO H/V L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 58.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS ARION B1/H1/TT1 L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 12 | 106.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | JAZZ STEED B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | FLAMING PASSION TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 3.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS CP/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 5.6 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | LORIZ C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 8 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTIMORE TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 62.0 | 18-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FLAMING PASSION | 14.3% | 7.01 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS | 9.3% | 10.80 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | JAZZ STEED | 8.9% | 11.21 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 8.8% | 11.41 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 8.8% | 11.41 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | LORIZ | 7.5% | 13.30 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO | 6.1% | 16.26 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | STARRY NIGHT | 5.7% | 17.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 5.6% | 17.92 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING | 4.2% | 23.91 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTIMORE | 3.9% | 25.59 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 25.5
PLACE
3 130
9 12.5
11 74
QUINELLA
3,9 913.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 279
3,11 1,631.5
9,11 168
FORECAST
9,3 1,204
TIERCE
9,3,11 16,629
TRIO
3,9,11 5,419
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 13,070
QUARTET
9,3,11,2 179,727
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 474
1/9 105.5