Happy Valley · 2022-11-30 · 21:21
Race 5
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-11-30 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. RATTAN KINGDOM, ridden by L Currie and trained by J Richards, won by 1-3/4, with OWNERS' PRAISE second and HAPPY TRIO third. Victory came as the 2.5 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM B/XB/TT 1.09.36 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 4 | 2.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 3 | 63.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO H/V L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 40.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME Y L Chung · C S Shum | Y L Chung | C S Shum | 11 | 12.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 6 | 58.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 5 | STARRY NIGHT B/TT M Chadwick · D A Hayes | M Chadwick | D A Hayes | 7 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS ARION B1/H1/TT1 L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 12 | 106.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | JAZZ STEED B/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 9 | 16.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | FLAMING PASSION TT H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 1 | 3.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS CP/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 5.6 | 6 |
| 11 | 10 | LORIZ C L Chau · P F Yiu | C L Chau | P F Yiu | 8 | 15.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTIMORE TT H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 10 | 62.0 | 18-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | RATTAN KINGDOM | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | FLAMING PASSION | 14.3% | 7.01 | 9 |
| 3 | 6 | HARDLY SWEARS | 9.3% | 10.80 | 10 |
| 4 | 8 | JAZZ STEED | 8.9% | 11.21 | 8 |
| 5 | 4 | RIGHTEOUS ARION | 8.8% | 11.41 | 7 |
| 6 | 2 | HARMONY N HOME | 8.8% | 11.41 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | LORIZ | 7.5% | 13.30 | 11 |
| 8 | 11 | HAPPY TRIO | 6.1% | 16.26 | 3 |
| 9 | 5 | STARRY NIGHT | 5.7% | 17.55 | 6 |
| 10 | 3 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 5.6% | 17.92 | 2 |
| 11 | 12 | HAPPY GATHERING | 4.2% | 23.91 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | MULTIMORE | 3.9% | 25.59 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 25.5
PLACE
3 130
9 12.5
11 74
QUINELLA
3,9 913.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 279
3,11 1,631.5
9,11 168
FORECAST
9,3 1,204
TIERCE
9,3,11 16,629
TRIO
3,9,11 5,419
FIRST 4
2,3,9,11 13,070
QUARTET
9,3,11,2 179,727
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 14.5
A3 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
1/3 474
1/9 105.5