沙田 · 2022-12-04 · 17:48
第 10場
2022-12-04沙田第10場，Class 2，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由M Chadwick策騎、W Y So訓練的SUPER WIN DRAGON勝出，贏出1/2。CAMPIONE獲得亞軍；GALAXY WITNESS獲得季軍。3.9倍大熱門MAJESTIC STAR跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT 1.07.48 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 5 | 4.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 1 | CAMPIONE TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 5.9 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS B1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 5.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 3 | KA YING MASTER TT Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 10 | 7.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 1 | 3.9 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | POWER KOEPP E M L Yeung · J Size | M L Yeung | J Size | 8 | 47.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 8 | TORONADO PHANTOM P2/TT H Bentley · J Size | H Bentley | J Size | 6 | 35.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 4 | APACHE PASS BO/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 7 | 8.6 | 6 |
| 9 | 10 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H H N Wong · D J Whyte | H N Wong | D J Whyte | 2 | 89.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD B/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 12 | 76.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 5 | WE THE SOUTH H/XB V Borges · F C Lor | V Borges | F C Lor | 9 | 55.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 6 | SILVER FIG B/TT L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 11 | 50.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | CALIFORNIADEEPSHOT · A S Cruz | — | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 23.6% | 4.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 7 | GALAXY WITNESS | 17.3% | 5.78 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | MAJESTIC STAR | 13.4% | 7.48 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | APACHE PASS | 13.1% | 7.64 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | CAMPIONE | 9.2% | 10.83 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | KA YING MASTER | 7.5% | 13.36 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 3.2% | 31.55 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | TORONADO PHANTOM | 3.1% | 31.76 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | POWER KOEPP | 3.1% | 32.73 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | CALIFORNIA RAD | 2.7% | 36.47 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | WE THE SOUTH | 2.7% | 37.31 | 11 |
| 12 | 6 | SILVER FIG | 1.2% | 86.75 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 40.5
PLACE
1 20
7 19
12 16
QUINELLA
1,12 117.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 63.5
1,12 47.5
7,12 40.5
FORECAST
12,1 220
TIERCE
12,1,7 980
TRIO
1,7,12 213
FIRST 4
1,3,7,12 395
QUARTET
12,1,7,3 6,774
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 20
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,8,14/1,7,12 58,032
9TH DOUBLE
3/1 125
3/12 621
SIX UP
3,6/4,11/1,5/2,7/3,8/1,12 84,082
6/11/5/2/3/12 901,584
1 [Z Purton] —
4 [T P Yung] —
TREBLE
2/3/1 311
2/3/12 1,412