沙田 · 2022-12-04 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-12-04沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K H Chan策騎、D J Hall訓練的QUADRUPLE DOUBLE勝出，贏出N。MAJESTIC KNIGHT獲得亞軍；RUN RUN COOL獲得季軍。2.5倍大熱門SUPERB BOY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE B1/TT 0.56.91 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 6 | 19.0 | N |
| 2 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 32.0 | N |
| 3 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 9 | 5.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 4 | 9.2 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 5 | SUPERB BOY Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 2 | 2.5 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 9 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT M Chadwick · C S Shum | M Chadwick | C S Shum | 8 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | THE RUNNER V M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 1 | 51.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 10 | 7.6 | 4-1/2 |
| 10 | 6 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 7 | 75.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 13 | WINNING HEART B1/TT1 L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 47.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE XB L Currie · A T Millard | L Currie | A T Millard | 13 | 152.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 10 | GOLDEN WARSTEED B/XB S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 12 | 29.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 14 | MAGIC TORONADO C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 14 | 56.0 | 12-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | SUPERB BOY | 41.7% | 2.40 | 5 |
| 2 | 2 | BRILLIANT WAY | 9.9% | 10.15 | 9 |
| 3 | 9 | KA YING SPIRIT | 9.8% | 10.18 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | LUCKY EIGHT | 7.7% | 12.91 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 5.5% | 18.22 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 4.6% | 21.60 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | FLYING DRAGON | 4.4% | 22.91 | 6 |
| 8 | 13 | WINNING HEART | 4.0% | 25.29 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 3.1% | 32.28 | 2 |
| 10 | 14 | MAGIC TORONADO | 3.1% | 32.71 | 14 |
| 11 | 3 | THE RUNNER | 2.3% | 43.73 | 8 |
| 12 | 6 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.8% | 56.85 | 10 |
| 13 | 10 | GOLDEN WARSTEED | 1.6% | 61.71 | 13 |
| 14 | 12 | SINGAPORE SUNSHINE | 0.7% | 153.73 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 192.5
PLACE
1 18.5
4 79
11 33.5
QUINELLA
4,11 1,868.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 252.5
1,11 147.5
4,11 484
FORECAST
11,4 4,941
TIERCE
11,4,1 33,235
TRIO
1,4,11 3,298
FIRST 4
1,4,7,11 7,166
QUARTET
11,4,1,7 224,766
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 28
A2 —
A1 —
5TH DOUBLE
6/4 567
6/11 1,353
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,10/3,6,10/Any Combination 9,358