沙田 · 2022-12-04 · 14:01
第 3場
2022-12-04沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由Y L Chung策騎、P C Ng訓練的UNITED WE STAND勝出，贏出N。GOLDEN BULL獲得亞軍；DUBLIN STAR獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門GOLDEN BULL跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT 1.09.40 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 4 | 3.3 | N |
| 2 | 3 | GOLDEN BULL TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 7 | 2.6 | N |
| 3 | 4 | DUBLIN STAR B/TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 34.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 5 | FAST BUCK S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 5 | 7.1 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR B/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 2 | 6.1 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SMART LEADER B/XB/TT H Bowman · W Y So | H Bowman | W Y So | 10 | 10.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | JUST GREAT TWO B1 K C Leung · D J Hall | K C Leung | D J Hall | 1 | 145.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | GOAL ORIENTED TT1 M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 12 | 146.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | GENERAL ACE C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 50.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY B1/H1/TT1 M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 3 | 24.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE B/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 11 | 40.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 12 | 9 | LAMMA HONOR TT1 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 8 | 156.0 | 29 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GOLDEN BULL | 24.7% | 4.04 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | SUGAR SUGAR | 12.8% | 7.80 | 5 |
| 3 | 5 | FAST BUCK | 12.8% | 7.82 | 4 |
| 4 | 11 | SMART LEADER | 12.5% | 7.98 | 6 |
| 5 | 12 | UNITED WE STAND | 10.1% | 9.87 | 1 |
| 6 | 10 | SMART BEAUTY | 9.0% | 11.07 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | CHICKEN DANCE | 5.1% | 19.43 | 11 |
| 8 | 8 | JUST GREAT TWO | 3.5% | 28.34 | 7 |
| 9 | 4 | DUBLIN STAR | 2.9% | 33.91 | 3 |
| 10 | 7 | GOAL ORIENTED | 2.7% | 36.74 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | LAMMA HONOR | 2.5% | 40.40 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | GENERAL ACE | 1.1% | 87.16 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 33
PLACE
3 13.5
4 53
12 13
QUINELLA
3,12 56.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 103.5
3,12 26
4,12 111
FORECAST
12,3 137
TIERCE
12,3,4 1,451
TRIO
3,4,12 349
FIRST 4
3,4,5,12 523
QUARTET
12,3,4,5 7,725
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
5/3 29.5
5/12 246.5
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 18.5