跑馬地 · 2022-12-07 · 20:11
第 4場
2022-12-07跑馬地第4場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、J Richards訓練的HANDSOME REBEL勝出，贏出3/4。FARIBAULT獲得亞軍；FABULOUS EIGHT獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門SUPREME LUCKY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT 0.57.22 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 7 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | FARIBAULT B M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 4 | 7.6 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 2 | FABULOUS EIGHT B/TT R Moore · P F Yiu | R Moore | P F Yiu | 8 | 34.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | JUNEAU FLASH T Marquand · J Size | T Marquand | J Size | 12 | 28.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPREME LUCKY B1/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 1 | 2.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 4 | CIRCUIT SEVEN H/TT K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.4 | 2 |
| 7 | 1 | FORTE CP/XB/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 8.7 | 3 |
| 8 | 9 | VALHALLA XB/B1/TT J McDonald · C Fownes | J McDonald | C Fownes | 11 | 32.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED XB S De Sousa · D J Hall | S De Sousa | D J Hall | 9 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | CHARMING STEED TT L Hewitson · C Fownes | L Hewitson | C Fownes | 2 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY B J Melham · K H Ting | J Melham | K H Ting | 6 | 25.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN B H Doyle · D J Whyte | H Doyle | D J Whyte | 10 | 64.0 | 5-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | SUPREME LUCKY | 31.9% | 3.14 | 5 |
| 2 | 10 | FARIBAULT | 10.7% | 9.37 | 2 |
| 3 | 1 | FORTE | 10.2% | 9.76 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | HANDSOME REBEL | 9.7% | 10.31 | 1 |
| 5 | 9 | VALHALLA | 6.2% | 16.10 | 8 |
| 6 | 5 | CHARMING STEED | 5.0% | 20.06 | 10 |
| 7 | 2 | FABULOUS EIGHT | 4.6% | 21.73 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | CIRCUIT SEVEN | 4.5% | 22.09 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | JUNEAU FLASH | 4.5% | 22.29 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | OVERSUBSCRIBED | 4.4% | 22.70 | 9 |
| 11 | 3 | MOMENTUM GALAXY | 4.2% | 23.69 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | UNIVERSAL CROWN | 4.1% | 24.44 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
11 90
PLACE
2 69
10 19
11 24
QUINELLA
10,11 247.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,10 259
2,11 261.5
10,11 76
FORECAST
11,10 544
TIERCE
11,10,2 8,378
TRIO
2,10,11 1,550
FIRST 4
2,6,10,11 6,701
QUARTET
11,10,2,6 88,507
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 27.5
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/10 30
4/11 292.5