跑馬地 · 2022-12-07 · 22:13
第 8場
2022-12-07跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由S De Sousa策騎、F C Lor訓練的ADIOS勝出，贏出SH。RED LION獲得亞軍；STORMTROUPER獲得季軍。頭馬以2.8倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ADIOS V 1.09.87 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 4 | 2.8 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | RED LION J Melham · J Size | J Melham | J Size | 7 | 14.0 | SH |
| 3 | 12 | STORMTROUPER E/TT H Doyle · C H Yip | H Doyle | C H Yip | 11 | 79.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 10 | 36.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | XPONENTIAL B/TT Z Purton · D J Whyte | Z Purton | D J Whyte | 6 | 7.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | MR VALIANT XB C Y Ho · A T Millard | C Y Ho | A T Millard | 9 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 10 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT T Marquand · A S Cruz | T Marquand | A S Cruz | 5 | 16.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS B K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 8 | 54.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 1 | GOLD MARQUIS B/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 12 | 5.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 6 | HERE COMES TED B/TT L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 2 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY SHARING CP/TT H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 3 | 6.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT R Moore · A S Cruz | R Moore | A S Cruz | 1 | 11.0 | 13-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SOLID IMPACT R Moore · D J Hall | R Moore | D J Hall | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | ADIOS | 20.1% | 4.98 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | HAPPY SHARING | 13.1% | 7.64 | 11 |
| 3 | 7 | XPONENTIAL | 12.7% | 7.85 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | GOLD MARQUIS | 8.8% | 11.41 | 9 |
| 5 | 9 | BEAUTY GLORY | 8.3% | 12.05 | 12 |
| 6 | 8 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 8.0% | 12.58 | 4 |
| 7 | 5 | RED LION | 7.5% | 13.40 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 7.0% | 14.38 | 7 |
| 9 | 2 | NAMJONG SINGS | 4.4% | 22.69 | 8 |
| 10 | 12 | STORMTROUPER | 3.7% | 26.84 | 3 |
| 11 | 11 | MR VALIANT | 3.3% | 29.96 | 6 |
| 12 | 6 | HERE COMES TED | 3.2% | 31.47 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
3 28.5
PLACE
3 12.5
5 43
12 149.5
QUINELLA
3,5 231
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 82
3,12 330.5
5,12 969
FORECAST
3,5 533
TIERCE
3,5,12 12,016
TRIO
3,5,12 2,824
FIRST 4
3,5,8,12 16,421
QUARTET
3,5,12,8 210,432
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 23.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
7/3 366.5
7/5 197
3 [S De Sousa], 4 [T Marquand] —