跑馬地 · 2022-12-07 · 21:41
第 7場
2022-12-07跑馬地第7場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD。由T Marquand策騎、A S Cruz訓練的WINNING DRAGON勝出，贏出3/4。RED MAJESTY獲得亞軍；NIMBLE NIMBUS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.5倍大熱門PACKING FAMOUS跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WINNING DRAGON 後段發力 H/TT 1.40.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） T Marquand · A S Cruz | T Marquand | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | RED MAJESTY 早段領放 B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS 後段發力 V/TT J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | VIVA HUNTER TT R Moore · K L Man | R Moore | K L Man | 9 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 4 | AMAZING ONE PLUS 後段發力 XB/TT C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 5 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | SETANTA 後段發力 B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 10 | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | PACKING FAMOUS 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 8 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | 1 | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | ALL BEAUTY CP- J Melham · F C Lor | J Melham | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 12 | STORM LEGEND 後段發力 CP S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 11 | THE ANOMALY V K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 95.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN V/XB/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 7 | 9.4 | 3-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | PACKING FAMOUS | 16.1% | 6.21 | 7 |
| 2 | 3 | RISING FROM ASHES | 14.3% | 7.01 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 13.4% | 7.46 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | WINNING DRAGON | 10.4% | 9.61 | 1 |
| 5 | 5 | SETANTA | 8.4% | 11.90 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | STORM LEGEND | 7.8% | 12.75 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | CAPTAIN WIN | 6.5% | 15.48 | 12 |
| 8 | 8 | ALL BEAUTY | 6.2% | 16.02 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.3% | 19.00 | 4 |
| 10 | 4 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 5.0% | 20.20 | 5 |
| 11 | 2 | RED MAJESTY | 4.2% | 24.07 | 2 |
| 12 | 11 | THE ANOMALY | 2.5% | 39.91 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 129
PLACE
2 79.5
6 17
7 34.5
QUINELLA
2,7 1,438
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 255.5
2,7 376.5
6,7 91
FORECAST
7,2 2,062
TIERCE
7,2,6 12,763
TRIO
2,6,7 2,016
FIRST 4
2,6,7,10 6,631
QUARTET
7,2,6,10 155,931
全部彩池（另 4 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/2,6,7 361,272
3 PICK 1
A2 25
A3 —
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/2 161
4/7 356.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/3,4,7/Any Combination 47,870