Happy Valley · 2022-12-07 · 21:41
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON Closed strongly H/TT 1.40.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) T Marquand · A S Cruz | T Marquand | A S Cruz | 3 | 12.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RED MAJESTY Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 40.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS Closed strongly V/TT J McDonald · P F Yiu | J McDonald | P F Yiu | 2 | 4.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER TT R Moore · K L Man | R Moore | K L Man | 9 | 19.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS Closed strongly XB/TT C Y Ho · T P Yung | C Y Ho | T P Yung | 5 | 24.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 3.5 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY CP- J Melham · F C Lor | J Melham | F C Lor | 4 | 12.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | STORM LEGEND Closed strongly CP S De Sousa · C Fownes | S De Sousa | C Fownes | 12 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THE ANOMALY V K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 11 | 95.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN V/XB/TT M Chadwick · P C Ng | M Chadwick | P C Ng | 7 | 9.4 | 3-3/4 |
| — | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES B/TT H Doyle · K W Lui | H Doyle | K W Lui | — | 5.0 | 2-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SETANTA Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | — | 26.0 | 2-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-07 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WINNING DRAGON, ridden by T Marquand and trained by A S Cruz, won by 3/4, with RED MAJESTY second and NIMBLE NIMBUS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite PACKING FAMOUS finished 7th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING FAMOUS | 16.1% | 6.21 | 7 |
| 2 | 0 | RISING FROM ASHES | 14.3% | 7.01 | — |
| 3 | 0 | NIMBLE NIMBUS | 13.4% | 7.46 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 10.4% | 9.61 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SETANTA | 8.4% | 11.90 | — |
| 6 | 0 | STORM LEGEND | 7.8% | 12.75 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | CAPTAIN WIN | 6.5% | 15.48 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | ALL BEAUTY | 6.2% | 16.02 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | VIVA HUNTER | 5.3% | 19.00 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | AMAZING ONE PLUS | 5.0% | 20.20 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | RED MAJESTY | 4.2% | 24.07 | 2 |
| 12 | 0 | THE ANOMALY | 2.5% | 39.91 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 129
PLACE
2 79.5
6 17
7 34.5
QUINELLA
2,7 1,438
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 255.5
2,7 376.5
6,7 91
FORECAST
7,2 2,062
TIERCE
7,2,6 12,763
TRIO
2,6,7 2,016
FIRST 4
2,6,7,10 6,631
QUARTET
7,2,6,10 155,931
All pools (4 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/2,6,7 361,272
3 PICK 1
A2 25
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
4/2 161
4/7 356.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,5/3,4,7/Any Combination 47,870