Happy Valley · 2022-12-07 · 21:11
Race 6
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-07 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. GOLD GOLD BABY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1-1/2, with ALLGREEKTOME second and BEAUTY MISSION third. The 2.9 favourite SIXTH GENERATION finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | GOLD GOLD BABY TT 1.09.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 4.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | ALLGREEKTOME TT J McDonald · D A Hayes | J McDonald | D A Hayes | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSION CP/SR2 H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 4 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | ISLAND SURPRISE B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 6 | 9.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 12 | SIXTH GENERATION H1/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 2.9 | 3 |
| 6 | 2 | MEGA BONUS V T Marquand · P F Yiu | T Marquand | P F Yiu | 3 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 7 | 5 | INFINITE POWER CP H Doyle · P C Ng | H Doyle | P C Ng | 2 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 6 | FAST PACE H/TT J Melham · C Fownes | J Melham | C Fownes | 1 | 34.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 8 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 8 | 6.7 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 43.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | SUPER DOBBIN B K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 7 | 42.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 5 | 64.0 | 8-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SIXTH GENERATION | 15.2% | 6.57 | 5 |
| 2 | 8 | HOWDEEPISYOURLOVE | 14.1% | 7.09 | 9 |
| 3 | 2 | MEGA BONUS | 14.0% | 7.15 | 6 |
| 4 | 4 | GOLD GOLD BABY | 12.7% | 7.85 | 1 |
| 5 | 10 | ISLAND SURPRISE | 11.1% | 9.00 | 4 |
| 6 | 7 | ALLGREEKTOME | 7.1% | 14.06 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | BEAUTY MISSION | 6.5% | 15.42 | 3 |
| 8 | 5 | INFINITE POWER | 6.2% | 16.01 | 7 |
| 9 | 11 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 4.4% | 22.70 | 10 |
| 10 | 6 | FAST PACE | 3.5% | 28.29 | 8 |
| 11 | 9 | GEM OF SOUTH CHINA | 2.6% | 38.85 | 12 |
| 12 | 1 | SUPER DOBBIN | 2.5% | 40.25 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 44.5
PLACE
3 28.5
4 18
7 49.5
QUINELLA
4,7 453
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 70.5
3,7 217
4,7 163
FORECAST
4,7 712
TIERCE
4,7,3 5,320
TRIO
3,4,7 1,463
FIRST 4
3,4,7,10 2,419
QUARTET
4,7,3,10 40,086
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5
5TH DOUBLE
1/4 208
1/7 112.5