Happy Valley · 2022-12-07 · 19:01
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE Closed strongly PC/TT 1.41.14 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · P C Ng | R Moore | P C Ng | 6 | 3.2 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 8 | 3.6 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR Closed strongly C L Chau · C W Chang | C L Chau | C W Chang | 2 | 31.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MISTER ARM Led early L Hewitson · Y S Tsui | L Hewitson | Y S Tsui | 9 | 14.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly SR-/B2/TT T Marquand · D J Whyte | T Marquand | D J Whyte | 10 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly V K Teetan · C H Yip | K Teetan | C H Yip | 3 | 11.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER B/XB/TT J Melham · J Richards | J Melham | J Richards | 1 | 7.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC Closed strongly SR/TT L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 11 | 75.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | OUR CREED V Z Purton · K H Ting | Z Purton | K H Ting | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD B/TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 4 | 14.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA CP-/V1/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 20.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | MOONLUCK H Doyle · T P Yung | H Doyle | T P Yung | 5 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-07 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. MEDIC ELITE, ridden by R Moore and trained by P C Ng, won by 2, with LONDON LUCKYSTAR second and GOLDEN FOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.2 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LONDON LUCKYSTAR | 19.9% | 5.02 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 14.3% | 6.97 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | FORTUNE MASTER | 12.4% | 8.08 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | PAKISTAN ZINDABAD | 9.0% | 11.13 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | OUR CREED | 8.8% | 11.33 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | MOONLUCK | 8.8% | 11.37 | 12 |
| 7 | 0 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 6.0% | 16.68 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 5.8% | 17.37 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | MISTER ARM | 5.4% | 18.39 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 4.3% | 23.13 | 5 |
| 11 | 0 | GOLDEN FOUR | 3.5% | 28.64 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | GO BALLISTIC | 1.7% | 57.64 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 32
PLACE
3 14.5
7 14.5
11 58.5
QUINELLA
3,7 73
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 33
3,11 123
7,11 116.5
FORECAST
7,3 170
TIERCE
7,3,11 2,191
TRIO
3,7,11 526
FIRST 4
3,4,7,11 1,217
QUARTET
7,3,11,4 20,644
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
4/3 255
4/7 1,311
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —