Happy Valley · 2022-12-07 · 20:41
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER Closed strongly 1.41.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · K W Lui | K C Leung | K W Lui | 2 | 5.1 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 1 | 3.3 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | FREE FOAL V J Melham · F C Lor | J Melham | F C Lor | 6 | 28.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT S De Sousa · D A Hayes | S De Sousa | D A Hayes | 11 | 9.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly B/TT T Marquand · P C Ng | T Marquand | P C Ng | 5 | 9.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA Closed strongly B H Doyle · D J Hall | H Doyle | D J Hall | 7 | 31.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT B/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 3 | 5.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR CP/XB J McDonald · D J Hall | J McDonald | D J Hall | 4 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | MY INTELLIGENT Led early V-/TT M Chadwick · L Ho | M Chadwick | L Ho | 12 | 24.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION Closed strongly CP C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 9 | 21.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | BABY B R Moore · K H Ting | R Moore | K H Ting | 10 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-07 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. WIN WIN FIGHTER, ridden by K C Leung and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with ROYAL PRIDE second and FREE FOAL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite ROYAL PRIDE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROYAL PRIDE | 19.6% | 5.09 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 13.7% | 7.31 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 9.2% | 10.89 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 8.9% | 11.24 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | YEE CHEONG WARRIOR | 8.8% | 11.40 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | WIN WIN FIGHTER | 7.6% | 13.08 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 6.7% | 14.86 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | SPICY GRILL | 6.4% | 15.65 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | BABY | 5.1% | 19.60 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | KUNG FU TEA | 5.0% | 20.01 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | LIFELINE VISION | 4.8% | 21.00 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MY INTELLIGENT | 4.2% | 23.85 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 51
PLACE
1 16.5
3 15.5
5 72
QUINELLA
1,3 92
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 35.5
1,5 242.5
3,5 170
FORECAST
1,3 224
TIERCE
1,3,5 4,055
TRIO
1,3,5 611
FIRST 4
1,3,5,7 2,065
QUARTET
1,3,5,7 33,526
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,10,11/1,3,5 210,725
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26
4TH DOUBLE
11/1 579.5
11/3 57.5