沙田 · 2022-12-11 · 13:36
第 3場
2022-12-11沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、D J Whyte訓練的DRAGON'S LUCK勝出，贏出3/4。DECISIVE TWELVE獲得亞軍；TEMPEST EXPRESS獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門VICTOR THE WINNER跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DRAGON'S LUCK 1.09.53 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 13 | 3.1 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 11 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 1 | 48.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | TEMPEST EXPRESS B/TT C Lemaire · J Size | C Lemaire | J Size | 5 | 26.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 20.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | MALDIVES B/XB B Shinn · D J Hall | B Shinn | D J Hall | 8 | 32.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | WONDER KIT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 61.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 11 | 2.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | SINBA B1 J McNeil · J Richards | J McNeil | J Richards | 6 | 40.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | LORD THUNDER XB/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 2 | 8.3 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 9 | SCIENCE PATCH V S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 12 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE TT C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 4 | 267.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | GOKO WIN C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 7 | 190.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 13 | 10 | SILVER HAMMER K Teetan · R Gibson | K Teetan | R Gibson | 9 | 78.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 14 | 8 | GLUCK RACER V-/XB-/TT M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 14 | 85.0 | 6-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 14 | DRAGON'S LUCK | 26.9% | 3.71 | 1 |
| 2 | 4 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 21.0% | 4.77 | 7 |
| 3 | 5 | LORD THUNDER | 8.3% | 11.98 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | SCIENCE PATCH | 8.0% | 12.57 | 10 |
| 5 | 7 | TEMPEST EXPRESS | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | READY TO WIN | 6.3% | 15.96 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | WONDER KIT | 3.9% | 25.43 | 6 |
| 8 | 10 | SILVER HAMMER | 3.8% | 26.18 | 13 |
| 9 | 8 | GLUCK RACER | 3.2% | 30.99 | 14 |
| 10 | 11 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 3.1% | 32.56 | 2 |
| 11 | 2 | MALDIVES | 3.1% | 32.57 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | GOKO WIN | 2.2% | 46.44 | 12 |
| 13 | 3 | SINBA | 1.9% | 51.53 | 8 |
| 14 | 12 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 0.7% | 135.43 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
14 31.5
PLACE
7 48.5
11 87
14 13.5
QUINELLA
11,14 792
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 730
7,14 70.5
11,14 178
FORECAST
14,11 1,235
TIERCE
14,11,7 13,673
TRIO
7,11,14 3,716
FIRST 4
6,7,11,14 9,251
QUARTET
14,11,7,6 135,970
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
2/11 224.5
2/14 81.5
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —