沙田 · 2022-12-11 · 12:56
第 2場
2022-12-11沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Lemaire策騎、P F Yiu訓練的MIGHTY STRIDE勝出，贏出2-1/2。REGENCY BO BO獲得亞軍；MARVEL DRAGON獲得季軍。頭馬以2.3倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MIGHTY STRIDE 1.09.52 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Lemaire · P F Yiu | C Lemaire | P F Yiu | 9 | 2.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT B Shinn · C S Shum | B Shinn | C S Shum | 7 | 14.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 13 | MARVEL DRAGON TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 8 | NICETOBEMET Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 2.6 | 4 |
| 5 | 14 | SNOWALOT B2 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 1 | THE HULK J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 14 | 15.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 12 | TURBO POWER B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | TOGEPI L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 2 | 154.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | GLENEALY GENERALS B/XB H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 6 | 78.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | HOSS XB L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 3 | 136.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 13 | 84.0 | 13-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER XB- K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 8 | 178.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | EAGLE RUN B1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 1 | 40.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 14 | 11 | POLYMER GLORIOUS SR H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 299.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | MIGHTY STRIDE | 30.4% | 3.29 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | NICETOBEMET | 18.9% | 5.29 | 4 |
| 3 | 6 | EAGLE RUN | 8.4% | 11.89 | 13 |
| 4 | 12 | TURBO POWER | 7.5% | 13.33 | 7 |
| 5 | 13 | MARVEL DRAGON | 7.5% | 13.36 | 2 |
| 6 | 1 | THE HULK | 5.7% | 17.61 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | REGENCY BO BO | 5.0% | 20.10 | 2 |
| 8 | 14 | SNOWALOT | 4.6% | 21.70 | 5 |
| 9 | 9 | TOGEPI | 3.1% | 32.01 | 8 |
| 10 | 10 | GLENEALY GENERALS | 2.7% | 37.27 | 9 |
| 11 | 7 | HOSS | 2.4% | 41.18 | 10 |
| 12 | 4 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 1.3% | 76.88 | 11 |
| 13 | 5 | WIND SPEEDER | 1.3% | 77.61 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | POLYMER GLORIOUS | 1.2% | 81.17 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 23.5
PLACE
2 12
3 31
13 25
QUINELLA
2,3 57.5
2,13 50.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 45
2,13 40.5
3,13 119.5
FORECAST
2,3 93
2,13 70
TIERCE
2,3,13 437
2,13,3 479
TRIO
2,3,13 304
FIRST 4
2,3,8,13 150
QUARTET
2,3,13,8 1,401
2,13,3,8 1,406
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
1/2 109.5
1/3 60.5
1/13 84
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 12.5