沙田 · 2022-12-18 · 16:06
第 7場
2022-12-18沙田第7場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的SHINING FORTUNE勝出，贏出HD。STAND UP獲得亞軍；LUCKY RUBY獲得季軍。2.0倍大熱門STAND UP跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | SHINING FORTUNE B-/PC1 1.09.76 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 7.2 | HD |
| 2 | 5 | STAND UP S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 4 | 2.0 | HD |
| 3 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 47.0 | N |
| 4 | 9 | VAMOS H K C Leung · D A Hayes | K C Leung | D A Hayes | 12 | 21.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 2 | FLYING BONUS P Y L Chung · C H Yip | Y L Chung | C H Yip | 5 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 12 | LORIZ C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 56.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | HANDSOME REBEL B/TT C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 1 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | CALL ME TEDDY PC1/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 2 | 8.8 | 6-1/4 |
| 10 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE H/V/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 6 | 89.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | THUNDERSTRIKE B/H H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 7 | 25.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT PC H N Wong · P C Ng | H N Wong | P C Ng | 3 | 9.2 | 9-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | STAND UP | 17.5% | 5.72 | 2 |
| 2 | 7 | HANDSOME REBEL | 15.2% | 6.58 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 12.0% | 8.31 | 5 |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY FAT CAT | 10.9% | 9.16 | 12 |
| 5 | 8 | SHINING FORTUNE | 10.0% | 10.01 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | CALL ME TEDDY | 6.8% | 14.77 | 9 |
| 7 | 9 | VAMOS | 6.6% | 15.16 | 4 |
| 8 | 2 | FLYING BONUS | 4.8% | 20.82 | 6 |
| 9 | 3 | THUNDERSTRIKE | 4.6% | 21.68 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | LUCKY RUBY | 4.3% | 23.41 | 3 |
| 11 | 12 | LORIZ | 4.0% | 24.80 | 7 |
| 12 | 4 | WOOD ON FIRE | 3.3% | 30.35 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 72.5
PLACE
5 11.5
8 20.5
11 94
QUINELLA
5,8 84.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 37.5
5,11 169.5
8,11 297.5
FORECAST
8,5 250
TIERCE
8,5,11 5,838
TRIO
5,8,11 965
FIRST 4
5,8,9,11 2,771
QUARTET
8,5,11,9 62,026
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,4,6/5,8,11 56,913
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/5 158
6/8 2,313.5