沙田 · 2022-12-18 · 17:51
第 10場
2022-12-18沙田第10場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、F C Lor訓練的MASSIVE ACTION勝出，贏出3/4。HAPPY DAY獲得亞軍；STUNNING IMPACT獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。1.8倍大熱門ACCELERANDO跑獲第9名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | MASSIVE ACTION 一路領先 SR/V 1.34.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 3 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 13 | HAPPY DAY 後段發力 TT- L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 2 | 8.5 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | STUNNING IMPACT B S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 6 | 6.7 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | HAPPY TOGETHER 後段發力 TT1 L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 13 | 39.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 14 | STORM LEGEND CP- C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 4 | 9.8 | 2 |
| 6 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY 後段發力 TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 11 | 35.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD 後段發力 TT1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 9 | 130.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 11 | WORLD FAMOUS B J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 8 | 107.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 12 | ACCELERANDO TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 1.8 | 6 |
| 10 | 9 | SATIRICAL GLORY 後段發力 K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 14 | 52.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | ATOMIC BEAUTY B-/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 75.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 4 | KILINDINI TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 5 | 35.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 3 | PEGASUS HERO H R Maia · Y S Tsui | R Maia | Y S Tsui | 1 | 214.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 12 | 11.0 | 16 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | ACCELERANDO | 40.0% | 2.50 | 9 |
| 2 | 7 | STUNNING IMPACT | 14.9% | 6.73 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | STORM LEGEND | 7.7% | 13.00 | 5 |
| 4 | 2 | NEVER TOO SOON | 6.9% | 14.40 | 14 |
| 5 | 13 | HAPPY DAY | 6.3% | 15.90 | 2 |
| 6 | 8 | MASSIVE ACTION | 5.6% | 17.96 | 1 |
| 7 | 5 | HAPPY DAILY | 4.3% | 23.31 | 6 |
| 8 | 1 | ATOMIC BEAUTY | 2.8% | 35.67 | 11 |
| 9 | 4 | KILINDINI | 2.6% | 38.24 | 12 |
| 10 | 11 | WORLD FAMOUS | 2.4% | 41.01 | 8 |
| 11 | 6 | RUNNING AHEAD | 2.2% | 44.92 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 1.8% | 54.91 | 4 |
| 13 | 9 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 1.7% | 60.05 | 10 |
| 14 | 3 | PEGASUS HERO | 0.8% | 129.68 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 144
PLACE
7 19.5
8 37
13 21
QUINELLA
8,13 446.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,8 112.5
7,13 66
8,13 132
FORECAST
8,13 1,260
TIERCE
8,13,7 5,043
TRIO
7,8,13 613
FIRST 4
7,8,10,13 7,209
QUARTET
8,13,7,10 146,386
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 30
A1 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
5,8,12/7,8,13 435,869
9TH DOUBLE
8/8 2,566
8/13 293.5
SIX UP
2,5/1,6/5,8/8,11/5,8/8,13 109,489
1 [J Size] —
1 [Z Purton] —
TREBLE
8/8/8 15,621
8/8/13 2,969