跑馬地 · 2022-12-21 · 22:18
第 8場
2022-12-21跑馬地第8場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由A Hamelin策騎、A S Cruz訓練的YO BEAUTY勝出，贏出NOSE。ARMOUR EAGLE獲得亞軍；LESLIE獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門NICCONI COUNTY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | YO BEAUTY CP/H/TT 1.09.36 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 10 | 9.9 | NOSE |
| 2 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE B/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 8 | 14.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 9 | LESLIE B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 6.4 | N |
| 4 | 1 | STAR BRITE CP/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 8.2 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 2 | NICCONI COUNTY TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 4 | 3.4 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | SKY FOREVER B/TT L Currie · K L Man | L Currie | K L Man | 2 | 19.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 8 | DIVINE SHINING XB1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 1 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | RED LION Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 12 | 4.2 | 3 |
| 9 | 11 | TELECOM SPEED K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 6 | 21.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ARIEL M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 182.0 | 5 |
| 11 | 4 | HAPPY SHARING CP/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 5 | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 10 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 11 | 57.0 | 7-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | RED LION | 18.4% | 5.43 | 8 |
| 2 | 9 | LESLIE | 15.9% | 6.28 | 3 |
| 3 | 2 | NICCONI COUNTY | 14.3% | 6.98 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR BRITE | 13.9% | 7.20 | 4 |
| 5 | 5 | YO BEAUTY | 11.0% | 9.09 | 1 |
| 6 | 4 | HAPPY SHARING | 7.6% | 13.23 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | ARMOUR EAGLE | 4.7% | 21.17 | 2 |
| 8 | 7 | SKY FOREVER | 4.5% | 22.09 | 6 |
| 9 | 11 | TELECOM SPEED | 4.4% | 22.89 | 9 |
| 10 | 10 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 2.3% | 42.67 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | DIVINE SHINING | 2.2% | 45.90 | 7 |
| 12 | 12 | ARIEL | 0.8% | 130.41 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 99
PLACE
5 28.5
6 43
9 22
QUINELLA
5,6 890
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 254
5,9 94.5
6,9 158.5
FORECAST
5,6 1,748
TIERCE
5,6,9 13,208
TRIO
5,6,9 1,563
FIRST 4
1,5,6,9 1,855
QUARTET
5,6,9,1 63,525
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 19.5
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
5/5 318.5
5/6 80