沙田 · 2023-01-24 · 13:01
第 2場
2023-01-24沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Ferraris策騎、C W Chang訓練的SMART FOLKS勝出，贏出2。GIVE WAY PLEASE獲得亞軍；QUORUM獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。4.5倍大熱門TEAM GOODLUCK跑獲第12名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | SMART FOLKS 一路領先 B/SR 1.22.70 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 12 | 5.3 | 2 |
| 2 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE 後段發力 B/H/XB/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 13 | 55.0 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | QUORUM 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 5 | 19.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 13 | ZACIAN 後段發力 C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 14 | 12.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE 後段發力 PC/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 3 | 9.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | HO HO JUNIOR K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 8 | 117.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | EMBARKED 後段發力 B/XB/TT S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 9 | 11.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS E/TT A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 2 | 7.8 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 2 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO B/TT1 H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 6 | 9.1 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 3 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 1 | 11.0 | 9 |
| 11 | 1 | SUPER HORNET B/XB/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 31.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | TEAM GOODLUCK CP/TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 4 | 4.5 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE H M F Poon · A T Millard | M F Poon | A T Millard | 7 | 102.0 | 15 |
| 14 | 4 | MAXIMIZE HEART B K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 12.0 | 15 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | TEAM GOODLUCK | 25.9% | 3.86 | 12 |
| 2 | 6 | MEDIC ELITE | 15.9% | 6.29 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 15.1% | 6.62 | 9 |
| 4 | 9 | EMBARKED | 9.1% | 10.93 | 7 |
| 5 | 10 | SMART FOLKS | 5.7% | 17.69 | 1 |
| 6 | 13 | ZACIAN | 5.6% | 17.88 | 4 |
| 7 | 12 | HANDSOME GUYS | 5.1% | 19.69 | 8 |
| 8 | 8 | QUORUM | 4.9% | 20.39 | 3 |
| 9 | 1 | SUPER HORNET | 3.5% | 28.25 | 11 |
| 10 | 5 | HO HO JUNIOR | 2.2% | 45.80 | 6 |
| 11 | 11 | YEE CHEONG BRAVE | 2.1% | 46.71 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 2.1% | 46.79 | 2 |
| 13 | 3 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 1.4% | 73.94 | 10 |
| 14 | 4 | MAXIMIZE HEART | 1.4% | 74.03 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
10 53
PLACE
8 57.5
10 23
14 109
QUINELLA
10,14 1,352.5
QUINELLA PLACE
8,10 170
8,14 1,273
10,14 323
FORECAST
10,14 2,925
TIERCE
10,14,8 47,591
TRIO
8,10,14 9,728
FIRST 4
8,10,13,14 20,394
QUARTET
10,14,8,13 404,109
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
3/10 130.5
3/14 153.5
3 PICK 1
A3 17
A1 —
A2 —