沙田 · 2023-01-24 · 17:54
第 11場
2023-01-24沙田第11場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、W Y So訓練的SUPER SUNNY SING勝出，贏出3-1/2。CAPITAL LEGEND獲得亞軍；SINBA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.7倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER SUNNY SING 後段發力 H 1.34.98 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 4 | 2.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | CAPITAL LEGEND 後段發力 TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 11 | 21.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | SINBA 後段發力 B/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 12 | 4.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | KING'S CAPITAL 後段發力 B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 91.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | PRINCE ALEX 後段發力 CP/SR A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 10 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | SIGHT SPIRIT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 1 | 5.4 | 4-1/2 |
| 7 | 8 | QUANTUM PATCH C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 5 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | PEGASUS GENERAL V V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 7 | 70.0 | 5 |
| 9 | 10 | ALL RICHES 早段領放 CP K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 2 | 7.7 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | GALLANT WAKING XB S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 13 | 11.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 14 | LOOKING COOL PC M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 6 | 22.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | CIRCUIT NINE H/B1/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz | H Bentley | A S Cruz | 3 | 43.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 2 | MAXIMUS SR-/XB- A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 9 | 48.0 | 11 |
| — | 9 | SKY FOREVER R Maia · K L Man | R Maia | K L Man | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 22.6% | 4.42 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | SINBA | 21.4% | 4.68 | 3 |
| 3 | 5 | GALLANT WAKING | 9.4% | 10.69 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | SIGHT SPIRIT | 8.9% | 11.24 | 6 |
| 5 | 14 | LOOKING COOL | 6.5% | 15.48 | 11 |
| 6 | 4 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 5.1% | 19.55 | 2 |
| 7 | 13 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 5.1% | 19.61 | 8 |
| 8 | 10 | ALL RICHES | 5.0% | 20.04 | 9 |
| 9 | 7 | PRINCE ALEX | 4.8% | 20.93 | 5 |
| 10 | 11 | CIRCUIT NINE | 4.1% | 24.13 | 12 |
| 11 | 12 | KING'S CAPITAL | 2.7% | 37.13 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | QUANTUM PATCH | 2.6% | 38.54 | 7 |
| 13 | 2 | MAXIMUS | 1.9% | 53.94 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 27
PLACE
1 19.5
4 49
6 12
QUINELLA
4,6 262.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 151
1,6 32.5
4,6 88
FORECAST
6,4 374
TIERCE
6,4,1 1,976
TRIO
1,4,6 331
FIRST 4
1,4,6,12 5,953
QUARTET
6,4,1,12 74,708
全部彩池（另 5 項）
10TH DOUBLE
3/4 641.5
3/6,9 857.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,3,7/4>1,6,9 157,848
SIX UP
1,2/5,6/4,10/6,12/2,3/4,6,9 2,210
1/6/10/6/3/6,9 814,735
8 [K H Ting] —
6 [H Bowman] —
TREBLE
6/3/4 1,607
6/3/6,9 2,426