沙田 · 2023-01-24 · 16:43
第 9場
2023-01-24沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、C S Shum訓練的VICTOR THE WINNER勝出，贏出4。DINKUM獲得亞軍；DECISIVE TWELVE獲得季軍。頭馬以2.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | VICTOR THE WINNER TT 1.08.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 7 | 2.1 | 4 |
| 2 | 12 | DINKUM CP1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 8.9 | 4 |
| 3 | 9 | DECISIVE TWELVE TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 3 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 4 | GOKO WIN B1 A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 6 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 5 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO B/XB K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 9 | 110.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 10 | TAJ DRAGON S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 4 | 119.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 7 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 5 | 56.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 12 | 47.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 2 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 2 | 4.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 11 | 5.5 | 10-1/4 |
| 11 | 3 | MAN STAR V H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 1 | 133.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 11 | TATTENHAM C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 8 | 51.0 | 13-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 20.9% | 4.78 | 9 |
| 2 | 6 | VICTOR THE WINNER | 19.2% | 5.20 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | BRILLIANT WAY | 16.5% | 6.07 | 10 |
| 4 | 12 | DINKUM | 12.1% | 8.25 | 2 |
| 5 | 9 | DECISIVE TWELVE | 9.7% | 10.32 | 3 |
| 6 | 5 | SMART IDEA | 4.0% | 25.09 | 8 |
| 7 | 7 | EXCELLENT DADDY | 3.8% | 26.58 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | GOKO WIN | 3.6% | 27.73 | 4 |
| 9 | 3 | MAN STAR | 3.4% | 29.70 | 11 |
| 10 | 11 | TATTENHAM | 2.6% | 38.53 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | ROMAN TURBO | 2.3% | 43.18 | 5 |
| 12 | 10 | TAJ DRAGON | 1.9% | 51.36 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 21
PLACE
6 10.5
9 41
12 28.5
QUINELLA
6,12 96
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 59.5
6,12 37
9,12 166.5
FORECAST
6,12 154
TIERCE
6,12,9 1,325
TRIO
6,9,12 458
FIRST 4
4,6,9,12 1,020
QUARTET
6,12,9,4 11,644
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 13.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
4,7,10/6,9,12 27,885
8TH DOUBLE
10/6 170.5
10/12 109