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Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 16:43

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1200m Course C 11 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 DINKUM CP1 C Y Ho · K W Lui 10 8.9 4
3 0 DECISIVE TWELVE TT K Teetan · W Y So 3 19.0 5
4 0 GOKO WIN B1 A Badel · C H Yip 6 17.0 5
5 0 ROMAN TURBO B/XB K H Chan · D J Hall 9 110.0 5-1/4
6 0 TAJ DRAGON S De Sousa · P C Ng 4 119.0 6-1/2
7 0 EXCELLENT DADDY TT L Hewitson · T P Yung 5 56.0 7-3/4
8 0 SMART IDEA H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 12 47.0 8-1/4
9 0 BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 2 4.0 8-1/2
10 0 BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size 11 5.5 10-1/4
11 0 MAN STAR V H N Wong · K H Ting 1 133.0 11-1/4
12 0 TATTENHAM C L Chau · P C Ng 8 51.0 13-1/4
— 0 VICTOR THE WINNER TT H Bowman · C S Shum — 2.1 4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. DINKUM, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 4, with DECISIVE TWELVE second and GOKO WIN third. The 2.1 favourite VICTOR THE WINNER did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. DINKUM+4L3. DECISIVE TWELVE+5L4. GOKO WIN+5L5. ROMAN TURBO+5.25L6. TAJ DRAGON+6.5L7. EXCELLENT DADDY+7.75L8. SMART IDEA+8.25L9. BEAUTY CHARGE+8.5L10. BRILLIANT WAY+10.25L11. MAN STAR+11.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 BEAUTY CHARGE 20.9% 4.78 9
2 0 VICTOR THE WINNER 19.2% 5.20 —
3 0 BRILLIANT WAY 16.5% 6.07 10
4 0 DINKUM 12.1% 8.25 2
5 0 DECISIVE TWELVE 9.7% 10.32 3
6 0 SMART IDEA 4.0% 25.09 8
7 0 EXCELLENT DADDY 3.8% 26.58 7
8 0 GOKO WIN 3.6% 27.73 4
9 0 MAN STAR 3.4% 29.70 11
10 0 TATTENHAM 2.6% 38.53 12
11 0 ROMAN TURBO 2.3% 43.18 5
12 0 TAJ DRAGON 1.9% 51.36 6
BEAUTY CHARGEVICTOR THE WINNERBRILLIANT WAYDINKUMDECISIVE TWELVESMART IDEAEXCELLENT DADDYGOKO WINMAN STARTATTENHAMROMAN TURBOTAJ DRAGON

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 21

PLACE

6 10.5

9 41

12 28.5

QUINELLA

6,12 96

QUINELLA PLACE

6,9 59.5

6,12 37

9,12 166.5

FORECAST

6,12 154

TIERCE

6,12,9 1,325

TRIO

6,9,12 458

FIRST 4

4,6,9,12 1,020

QUARTET

6,12,9,4 11,644

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A3 —

A1 13.5

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

4,7,10/6,9,12 27,885

8TH DOUBLE

10/6 170.5

10/12 109