Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 15:36
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BLISSFUL STAR, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with YELLOWFIN second and PUBLICIST third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.3 favourite JOYFUL GENIUS finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | BLISSFUL STAR Closed strongly V/TT 1.22.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K H Ting | K Teetan | K H Ting | 11 | 12.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 5 | YELLOWFIN Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 3.6 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | PUBLICIST Closed strongly H H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 5 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | REGENT GLORY Led early L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 11.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 2.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 3 | HERO ICON TT1 M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 14 | 52.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 10 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT A Badel · W Y So | A Badel | W Y So | 4 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 12 | SUNNY AND GOLD Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 6 | 101.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 11 | NORDIC COMBINED Closed strongly B S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 7 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 9 | HAPPY LAND B/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 43.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 14 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 13 | 66.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 12 | 2 | WIND N GRASS B/XB/TT L Ferraris · J Richards | L Ferraris | J Richards | 1 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 13 | 8 | TAILOR MADE TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 82.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 4 | MULTIWIN B/H K C Leung · A S Cruz | K C Leung | A S Cruz | 9 | 70.0 | 12 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 27.9% | 3.59 | 5 |
| 2 | 5 | YELLOWFIN | 15.9% | 6.30 | 2 |
| 3 | 10 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 7.8% | 12.80 | 7 |
| 4 | 11 | NORDIC COMBINED | 7.5% | 13.29 | 9 |
| 5 | 6 | BLISSFUL STAR | 7.1% | 14.04 | 1 |
| 6 | 1 | PUBLICIST | 5.8% | 17.27 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | WIND N GRASS | 4.9% | 20.45 | 12 |
| 8 | 9 | HAPPY LAND | 4.4% | 22.61 | 10 |
| 9 | 13 | REGENT GLORY | 3.9% | 25.82 | 4 |
| 10 | 3 | HERO ICON | 3.7% | 26.71 | 6 |
| 11 | 8 | TAILOR MADE | 3.6% | 27.61 | 13 |
| 12 | 14 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 3.5% | 28.86 | 11 |
| 13 | 12 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 2.2% | 45.50 | 8 |
| 14 | 4 | MULTIWIN | 1.8% | 56.10 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 122.5
PLACE
1 35.5
5 16
6 31
QUINELLA
5,6 225.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 83.5
1,6 177.5
5,6 69
FORECAST
6,5 548
TIERCE
6,5,1 5,358
TRIO
1,5,6 883
FIRST 4
1,5,6,13 1,723
QUARTET
6,5,1,13 43,646
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 42.5
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/1,5,6 135,946
6TH DOUBLE
1/5 24
1/6 385.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,3,8/1,2,9/1,5,6 18,534,168
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,3,8/1,2,9/Any Combination 28,671