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Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 17:18

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 14 runners

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAJESTIC COLOUR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with RED LION second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite MARADO finished 6th.

Result

Official · 1.21.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 3 MAJESTIC COLOUR Closed strongly V/TT- 1.21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 11 27.0 3/4
2 2 RED LION A Badel · J Size 4 3.0 3/4
3 7 MASTER HERO XB/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 14.0 3-1/4
4 11 GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly H/XB1 S De Sousa · P F Yiu 14 10.0 3-1/2
5 1 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall 3 12.0 4
6 4 MARADO Led early B Z Purton · P C Ng 1 2.9 5-1/2
7 13 FAULDS Closed strongly B/XB/TT M F Poon · J Richards 12 22.0 5-3/4
8 12 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE XB/BO1 R Maia · A T Millard 8 135.0 6
9 5 SOLAR WINDS Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 13 15.0 6
10 8 GOODBAN BANBANBANG TT C L Chau · C S Shum 5 159.0 6-3/4
11 9 WIN WIN FIGHTER H N Wong · K W Lui 2 104.0 7-1/2
12 14 DECRYPT XB/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng 9 30.0 8
13 6 TURIN MASCOT B1/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte 7 87.0 9-3/4
14 10 GLOBAL HARMONY CP K Teetan · D A Hayes 10 13.0 15-1/2
0 TEXAS MOON L Hewitson · T P Yung

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAJESTIC COLOUR2. RED LION+0.75L3. MASTER HERO+3.25L4. GOLDEN ARTIE+3.5L5. ATULLIBIGEAL+4L6. MARADO+5.5L7. FAULDS+5.75L8. SINGAPORE SUNSHINE+6L9. SOLAR WINDS+6L10. GOODBAN BANBANBANG+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick MARADO (41.1%) finished 6th — the winner MAJESTIC COLOUR was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 4 MARADO 41.1% 2.43 6
2 1 ATULLIBIGEAL 9.8% 10.18 5
3 2 RED LION 8.4% 11.89 2
4 5 SOLAR WINDS 7.7% 12.92 9
5 11 GOLDEN ARTIE 7.3% 13.73 4
6 10 GLOBAL HARMONY 6.5% 15.32 14
7 9 WIN WIN FIGHTER 3.9% 25.51 11
8 3 MAJESTIC COLOUR 3.8% 26.66 1
9 14 DECRYPT 3.0% 33.73 12
10 7 MASTER HERO 2.8% 35.49 3
11 13 FAULDS 2.7% 37.08 7
12 6 TURIN MASCOT 1.7% 57.64 13
13 12 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE 0.6% 157.33 8
14 8 GOODBAN BANBANBANG 0.6% 179.50 10
MARADOATULLIBIGEALRED LIONSOLAR WINDSGOLDEN ARTIEGLOBAL HARMONYWIN WIN FIGHTERMAJESTIC COLOUR — wonDECRYPTMASTER HEROFAULDSTURIN MASCOTSINGAPORE SUNSHINEGOODBAN BANBANBANG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 270

PLACE

2 14

3 60

7 33

QUINELLA

2,3 375

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 128

2,7 62

3,7 411.5

FORECAST

3,2 1,306

TIERCE

3,2,7 12,163

TRIO

2,3,7 1,153

FIRST 4

2,3,7,11 3,347

QUARTET

3,2,7,11 104,635

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1

A2

A3 35.5

9TH DOUBLE

6/2 16

6/3 506.5