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Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 17:18

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course C 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.21.87
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR Closed strongly V/TT- 1.21.87 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · F C Lor 11 27.0 3/4
2 0 RED LION A Badel · J Size 4 3.0 3/4
3 0 MASTER HERO XB/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 6 14.0 3-1/4
4 0 GOLDEN ARTIE Closed strongly H/XB1 S De Sousa · P F Yiu 14 10.0 3-1/2
5 0 ATULLIBIGEAL Closed strongly B/H/XB H Bowman · D J Hall 3 12.0 4
6 0 MARADO Led early B Z Purton · P C Ng 1 2.9 5-1/2
7 0 FAULDS Closed strongly B/XB/TT M F Poon · J Richards 12 22.0 5-3/4
8 0 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE XB/BO1 R Maia · A T Millard 8 135.0 6
9 0 SOLAR WINDS Closed strongly H/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 13 15.0 6
10 0 GOODBAN BANBANBANG TT C L Chau · C S Shum 5 159.0 6-3/4
11 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER H N Wong · K W Lui 2 104.0 7-1/2
12 0 DECRYPT XB/TT L Hewitson · P C Ng 9 30.0 8
14 0 GLOBAL HARMONY CP K Teetan · D A Hayes 10 13.0 15-1/2
— 0 TURIN MASCOT B1/TT1 H Bentley · D J Whyte — 87.0 9-3/4
— 0 TEXAS MOON L Hewitson · T P Yung — — —

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MAJESTIC COLOUR, ridden by K C Leung and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with RED LION second and MASTER HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.9 favourite MARADO finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. MAJESTIC COLOUR—2. RED LION+0.75L3. MASTER HERO+3.25L4. GOLDEN ARTIE+3.5L5. ATULLIBIGEAL+4L6. MARADO+5.5L7. FAULDS+5.75L8. SINGAPORE SUNSHINE+6L9. SOLAR WINDS+6L10. GOODBAN BANBANBANG+6.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick MARADO (41.1%) finished 6th — the winner MAJESTIC COLOUR was rated #8. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 MARADO 41.1% 2.43 6
2 0 ATULLIBIGEAL 9.8% 10.18 5
3 0 RED LION 8.4% 11.89 2
4 0 SOLAR WINDS 7.7% 12.92 9
5 0 GOLDEN ARTIE 7.3% 13.73 4
6 0 GLOBAL HARMONY 6.5% 15.32 14
7 0 WIN WIN FIGHTER 3.9% 25.51 11
8 0 MAJESTIC COLOUR 3.8% 26.66 1
9 0 DECRYPT 3.0% 33.73 12
10 0 MASTER HERO 2.8% 35.49 3
11 0 FAULDS 2.7% 37.08 7
12 0 TURIN MASCOT 1.7% 57.64 —
13 0 SINGAPORE SUNSHINE 0.6% 157.33 8
14 0 GOODBAN BANBANBANG 0.6% 179.50 10
MARADOATULLIBIGEALRED LIONSOLAR WINDSGOLDEN ARTIEGLOBAL HARMONYWIN WIN FIGHTERMAJESTIC COLOUR — wonDECRYPTMASTER HEROFAULDSTURIN MASCOTSINGAPORE SUNSHINEGOODBAN BANBANBANG

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

3 270

PLACE

2 14

3 60

7 33

QUINELLA

2,3 375

QUINELLA PLACE

2,3 128

2,7 62

3,7 411.5

FORECAST

3,2 1,306

TIERCE

3,2,7 12,163

TRIO

2,3,7 1,153

FIRST 4

2,3,7,11 3,347

QUARTET

3,2,7,11 104,635

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 35.5

A2 —

9TH DOUBLE

6/2 16

6/3 506.5