Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 14:36
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 5 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. GO GO SIXTEEN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won by 4, with REGENCY MASTER second and SKY GEM third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 5.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN Closed strongly B/TT 1.48.45 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 5 | 5.4 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | REGENCY MASTER Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 6 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 3 | 8 | SKY GEM Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 9.0 | 5 |
| 4 | 9 | BARON ZEE B2/TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 13 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | MOONLUCK C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 3 | 7.3 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 5 | YOUNG EXPLORER Closed strongly B/H/XB1 A Badel · K H Ting | A Badel | K H Ting | 2 | 16.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 6 | BOYS PARTY SR H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 6.1 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 10 | 20.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 14 | SMART COUSIN Closed strongly A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 8 | 14.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 1 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 14 | 5.9 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 10 | SHINY TWO B/XB L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 4 | 23.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 12 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA V-/CP2/TT L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 32.0 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | MISTER MONTE Led early CP H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 1 | 39.0 | 17-1/2 |
| 14 | 12 | TURF BRILLIANT B- K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 11 | 65.0 | 36-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPERB DADDY | 13.7% | 7.28 | 10 |
| 2 | 8 | SKY GEM | 12.7% | 7.90 | 3 |
| 3 | 6 | BOYS PARTY | 12.6% | 7.93 | 7 |
| 4 | 3 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 10.4% | 9.58 | 1 |
| 5 | 2 | REGENCY MASTER | 8.9% | 11.22 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | BARON ZEE | 7.9% | 12.71 | 4 |
| 7 | 13 | MOONLUCK | 7.7% | 13.04 | 5 |
| 8 | 5 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 5.9% | 16.95 | 6 |
| 9 | 14 | SMART COUSIN | 5.8% | 17.29 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | OWNERS' STAR | 4.6% | 21.61 | 8 |
| 11 | 10 | SHINY TWO | 4.1% | 24.23 | 11 |
| 12 | 7 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 2.6% | 38.09 | 12 |
| 13 | 12 | TURF BRILLIANT | 1.6% | 63.60 | 14 |
| 14 | 11 | MISTER MONTE | 1.5% | 67.75 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 54.5
PLACE
2 41.5
3 20.5
8 37.5
QUINELLA
2,3 286
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 128.5
2,8 195.5
3,8 110
FORECAST
3,2 579
TIERCE
3,2,8 5,364
TRIO
2,3,8 1,067
FIRST 4
2,3,8,9 3,859
QUARTET
3,2,8,9 67,850
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,11/2,3,8 442,855
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 28.5
4TH DOUBLE
8/2 161.5
8/3 289