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Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 17:54

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.34.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 4 2.7 3-1/2
2 0 CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 11 21.0 3-1/2
3 0 SINBA Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards 12 4.3 3-3/4
4 0 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 14 91.0 4-1/2
6 0 SIGHT SPIRIT K Teetan · J Size 1 5.4 4-1/2
7 0 QUANTUM PATCH C L Chau · P C Ng 5 41.0 5
8 0 PEGASUS GENERAL V V Borges · K H Ting 7 70.0 5
9 0 ALL RICHES Led early CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 7.7 5-1/4
10 0 GALLANT WAKING XB S De Sousa · K W Lui 13 11.0 5-1/2
11 0 LOOKING COOL PC M F Poon · F C Lor 6 22.0 7-1/4
12 0 CIRCUIT NINE H/B1/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 3 43.0 8
13 0 MAXIMUS SR-/XB- A Hamelin · A T Millard 9 48.0 11
— 0 SKY FOREVER R Maia · K L Man — — —
— 0 PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/SR A Badel · D J Whyte — 37.0 4-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 3-1/2, with CAPITAL LEGEND second and SINBA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SUNNY SING—2. CAPITAL LEGEND+3.5L3. SINBA+3.75L4. KING'S CAPITAL+4.5L6. SIGHT SPIRIT+4.5L7. QUANTUM PATCH+5L8. PEGASUS GENERAL+5L9. ALL RICHES+5.25L10. GALLANT WAKING+5.5L11. LOOKING COOL+7.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SUPER SUNNY SING (22.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 SUPER SUNNY SING 22.6% 4.42 1
2 0 SINBA 21.4% 4.68 3
3 0 GALLANT WAKING 9.4% 10.69 10
4 0 SIGHT SPIRIT 8.9% 11.24 6
5 0 LOOKING COOL 6.5% 15.48 11
6 0 CAPITAL LEGEND 5.1% 19.55 2
7 0 PEGASUS GENERAL 5.1% 19.61 8
8 0 ALL RICHES 5.0% 20.04 9
9 0 PRINCE ALEX 4.8% 20.93 —
10 0 CIRCUIT NINE 4.1% 24.13 12
11 0 KING'S CAPITAL 2.7% 37.13 4
12 0 QUANTUM PATCH 2.6% 38.54 7
13 0 MAXIMUS 1.9% 53.94 13
SUPER SUNNY SING — wonSINBAGALLANT WAKINGSIGHT SPIRITLOOKING COOLCAPITAL LEGENDPEGASUS GENERALALL RICHESPRINCE ALEXCIRCUIT NINEKING'S CAPITALQUANTUM PATCHMAXIMUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 27

PLACE

1 19.5

4 49

6 12

QUINELLA

4,6 262.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 151

1,6 32.5

4,6 88

FORECAST

6,4 374

TIERCE

6,4,1 1,976

TRIO

1,4,6 331

FIRST 4

1,4,6,12 5,953

QUARTET

6,4,1,12 74,708

All pools (5 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/4 641.5

3/6,9 857.5

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A2 —

A1 18

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,7/4>1,6,9 157,848

SIX UP

1,2/5,6/4,10/6,12/2,3/4,6,9 2,210

1/6/10/6/3/6,9 814,735

8 [K H Ting] —

6 [H Bowman] —

TREBLE

6/3/4 1,607

6/3/6,9 2,426