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Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 17:54

Race 11

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course C 13 runners

Race 11 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by W Y So, won by 3-1/2, with CAPITAL LEGEND second and SINBA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.7 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.34.98
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.34.98 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · W Y So 4 2.7 3-1/2
2 4 CAPITAL LEGEND Closed strongly TT H Bowman · C Fownes 11 21.0 3-1/2
3 1 SINBA Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · J Richards 12 4.3 3-3/4
4 12 KING'S CAPITAL Closed strongly B1 L Hewitson · D A Hayes 14 91.0 4-1/2
5 7 PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/SR A Badel · D J Whyte 10 37.0 4-1/2
6 3 SIGHT SPIRIT K Teetan · J Size 1 5.4 4-1/2
7 8 QUANTUM PATCH C L Chau · P C Ng 5 41.0 5
8 13 PEGASUS GENERAL V V Borges · K H Ting 7 70.0 5
9 10 ALL RICHES Led early CP K C Leung · P F Yiu 2 7.7 5-1/4
10 5 GALLANT WAKING XB S De Sousa · K W Lui 13 11.0 5-1/2
11 14 LOOKING COOL PC M F Poon · F C Lor 6 22.0 7-1/4
12 11 CIRCUIT NINE H/B1/TT H Bentley · A S Cruz 3 43.0 8
13 2 MAXIMUS SR-/XB- A Hamelin · A T Millard 9 48.0 11
9 SKY FOREVER R Maia · K L Man

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER SUNNY SING2. CAPITAL LEGEND+3.5L3. SINBA+3.75L4. KING'S CAPITAL+4.5L5. PRINCE ALEX+4.5L6. SIGHT SPIRIT+4.5L7. QUANTUM PATCH+5L8. PEGASUS GENERAL+5L9. ALL RICHES+5.25L10. GALLANT WAKING+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick SUPER SUNNY SING (22.6%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 SUPER SUNNY SING 22.6% 4.42 1
2 1 SINBA 21.4% 4.68 3
3 5 GALLANT WAKING 9.4% 10.69 10
4 3 SIGHT SPIRIT 8.9% 11.24 6
5 14 LOOKING COOL 6.5% 15.48 11
6 4 CAPITAL LEGEND 5.1% 19.55 2
7 13 PEGASUS GENERAL 5.1% 19.61 8
8 10 ALL RICHES 5.0% 20.04 9
9 7 PRINCE ALEX 4.8% 20.93 5
10 11 CIRCUIT NINE 4.1% 24.13 12
11 12 KING'S CAPITAL 2.7% 37.13 4
12 8 QUANTUM PATCH 2.6% 38.54 7
13 2 MAXIMUS 1.9% 53.94 13
SUPER SUNNY SING — wonSINBAGALLANT WAKINGSIGHT SPIRITLOOKING COOLCAPITAL LEGENDPEGASUS GENERALALL RICHESPRINCE ALEXCIRCUIT NINEKING'S CAPITALQUANTUM PATCHMAXIMUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 27

PLACE

1 19.5

4 49

6 12

QUINELLA

4,6 262.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,4 151

1,6 32.5

4,6 88

FORECAST

6,4 374

TIERCE

6,4,1 1,976

TRIO

1,4,6 331

FIRST 4

1,4,6,12 5,953

QUARTET

6,4,1,12 74,708

All pools (5 more)

10TH DOUBLE

3/4 641.5

3/6,9 857.5

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 18

A2

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

2,3,7/4>1,6,9 157,848

SIX UP

1,2/5,6/4,10/6,12/2,3/4,6,9 2,210

1/6/10/6/3/6,9 814,735

8 [K H Ting]

6 [H Bowman]

TREBLE

6/3/4 1,607

6/3/6,9 2,426