Sha Tin · 2023-01-24 · 16:08
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY Closed strongly CP 1.21.63 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 6 | 5.2 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY Closed strongly H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 4 | 8.3 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA H M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 2 | 9.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR H/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 1 | 5.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 5 | 15.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN Closed strongly H/XB/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 8 | 3.7 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 10 | 20.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS Closed strongly B A Hamelin · C W Chang | A Hamelin | C W Chang | 7 | 57.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER A Badel · F C Lor | A Badel | F C Lor | 3 | 49.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY Led early V/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 5.4 | 6-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-24 was Class 1 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. MR ASCENDENCY, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1, with THE GOLDEN SCENERY second and BELUGA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite THE IRISHMAN finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MR ASCENDENCY | 17.4% | 5.74 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HEALTHY HAPPY | 16.4% | 6.11 | 10 |
| 3 | 0 | BELUGA | 14.0% | 7.16 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | CIRCUIT STELLAR | 12.4% | 8.08 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | THE IRISHMAN | 10.9% | 9.17 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | BLAZE WARRIOR | 7.3% | 13.67 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | WINNING DREAMER | 6.1% | 16.31 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | FAMILY FOLKS | 5.7% | 17.52 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | THE GOLDEN SCENERY | 5.2% | 19.28 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 4.6% | 21.61 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 52
PLACE
4 23
7 24
10 19.5
QUINELLA
4,10 197.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,7 95
4,10 63
7,10 85.5
FORECAST
10,4 479
TIERCE
10,4,7 3,159
TRIO
4,7,10 613
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 558
QUARTET
10,4,7,8 11,976
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 26.5
7TH DOUBLE
6/4 102
6/10 469.5