沙田 · 2023-01-24 · 13:31
第 3場
2023-01-24沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由K C Leung策騎、K H Ting訓練的DIVINE ERA勝出，贏出1/2。THUNDERBOLTAURUS獲得亞軍；ARIEL獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。3.3倍大熱門SINGAPORE SPIRIT跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DIVINE ERA 後段發力 TT 1.23.14 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 9 | 5.7 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 10 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS 後段發力 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 10 | 6.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | ARIEL 早段領放 L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 13 | 98.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 4 | NUNCHUKS 後段發力 TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 14 | 24.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE H/P1 C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 2 | 21.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 5 | 4.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 11 | WIN WIN 後段發力 B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 7 | 29.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | CHOICERUS SR K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 4 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 13 | YOUNG SPARKLE A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 6 | 50.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 5 | BRILLIANT PIONEER 後段發力 H V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 122.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.3 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 2 | SPICY GRILL 後段發力 B/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 12 | 21.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 6 | FUNCTION PATCH H/TT S De Sousa · K W Lui | S De Sousa | K W Lui | 1 | 9.5 | 6-1/4 |
| 14 | 14 | BLAZING SUN B/XB/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 8 | 110.0 | 7-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | TURIN WARRIOR | 29.3% | 3.41 | 6 |
| 2 | 9 | SINGAPORE SPIRIT | 14.1% | 7.09 | 11 |
| 3 | 12 | DIVINE ERA | 11.3% | 8.87 | 1 |
| 4 | 10 | THUNDERBOLTAURUS | 8.7% | 11.52 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | FUNCTION PATCH | 8.4% | 11.88 | 13 |
| 6 | 2 | SPICY GRILL | 6.6% | 15.17 | 12 |
| 7 | 8 | LADY'S CHOICE | 5.7% | 17.49 | 5 |
| 8 | 11 | WIN WIN | 4.1% | 24.15 | 7 |
| 9 | 13 | YOUNG SPARKLE | 3.6% | 28.06 | 9 |
| 10 | 4 | NUNCHUKS | 2.8% | 35.63 | 4 |
| 11 | 7 | CHOICERUS | 1.7% | 58.50 | 8 |
| 12 | 5 | BRILLIANT PIONEER | 1.3% | 75.23 | 10 |
| 13 | 14 | BLAZING SUN | 1.3% | 78.76 | 14 |
| 14 | 1 | ARIEL | 1.1% | 93.31 | 3 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 57.5
PLACE
1 197
10 20
12 24
QUINELLA
10,12 188
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 609.5
1,12 834
10,12 75.5
FORECAST
12,10 389
TIERCE
12,10,1 21,223
TRIO
1,10,12 5,561
FIRST 4
1,4,10,12 31,209
QUARTET
12,10,1,4 327,436
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
8,10,14/1,10,12 1,385,824
2ND DOUBLE
10/10 67
10/12 446
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 26.5