沙田 · 2023-01-29 · 14:31
第 4場
2023-01-29沙田第4場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由J McDonald策騎、J Richards訓練的HAPPY FOR ALL勝出，贏出N。EASY SNIP獲得亞軍；TRUST ME獲得季軍。2.6倍大熱門FURTHER FORWARD跑獲第11名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HAPPY FOR ALL H1/TT1 1.09.78 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） J McDonald · J Richards | J McDonald | J Richards | 7 | 34.0 | N |
| 2 | 11 | EASY SNIP B1 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 9 | TRUST ME B/H H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 12 | 6.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR ASCENSION XB-/TT1 L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 5 | 9.3 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 10 | FINGERS CROSSED TT J Melham · J Size | J Melham | J Size | 13 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 13 | DOUBLE SHOW B-/SR2/TT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | 6 | 20.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LOST CHILD H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 2 | 7.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | DENFIELD TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 8 | 18.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | BEAT HOLLOW H K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 3 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 12 | ISLAND SHINE TT A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 11 | 56.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 4 | FURTHER FORWARD TT1 Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 2.6 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 5 | GOAL ORIENTED SR1/TT M F Poon · K H Ting | M F Poon | K H Ting | 4 | 103.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 14 | FLAMING EAGLE PC/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 14 | 57.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 14 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN B R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 10 | 36.0 | 10-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | FURTHER FORWARD | 19.9% | 5.04 | 11 |
| 2 | 6 | HAPPY FOR ALL | 9.3% | 10.77 | 1 |
| 3 | 11 | EASY SNIP | 8.6% | 11.57 | 2 |
| 4 | 1 | STAR ASCENSION | 8.6% | 11.66 | 4 |
| 5 | 13 | DOUBLE SHOW | 8.0% | 12.53 | 6 |
| 6 | 3 | DENFIELD | 7.7% | 13.00 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | TRUST ME | 7.4% | 13.60 | 3 |
| 8 | 7 | LOST CHILD | 7.3% | 13.70 | 7 |
| 9 | 10 | FINGERS CROSSED | 6.5% | 15.49 | 5 |
| 10 | 12 | ISLAND SHINE | 4.8% | 20.68 | 10 |
| 11 | 14 | FLAMING EAGLE | 4.3% | 23.17 | 13 |
| 12 | 5 | GOAL ORIENTED | 3.0% | 33.47 | 12 |
| 13 | 2 | SUPER DOBBIN | 2.5% | 39.29 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | BEAT HOLLOW | 2.2% | 46.05 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 348.5
PLACE
6 85.5
9 24
11 26.5
QUINELLA
6,11 1,198
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 336
6,11 390.5
9,11 106
FORECAST
6,11 2,394
TIERCE
6,11,9 22,777
TRIO
6,9,11 2,866
FIRST 4
1,6,9,11 5,276
QUARTET
6,11,9,1 163,938
全部彩池（另 3 項）
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/6,9,11 823,288
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 23
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE
9/6 3,743.5
9/11 541.5