沙田 · 2023-01-29 · 13:31
第 2場
2023-01-29沙田第2場，Class 4，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Y L Chung策騎、K W Lui訓練的SKYEY SUPREME勝出，贏出SH。KILLER INSTINCT獲得亞軍；AMAZING TEENS獲得季軍。頭馬帶放到底。2.9倍大熱門NICE BIRDIE跑獲第6名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME 一路領先 B/TT 1.39.24 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 3 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT 後段發力 V1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING TEENS 後段發力 H/P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI 後段發力 XB/B1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | NICE BIRDIE 後段發力 TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 2.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | GREEN LASER 後段發力 B-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 14 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK PC/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SPANGLE FORTUNE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 40.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | STARFIRE GEMS H1/P1/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 5 | 46.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 28.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | ALL IS READY B/XB H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 6 | 88.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | PRAGMATISM A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 7 | 117.0 | 21-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NICE BIRDIE | 26.8% | 3.74 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI | 14.1% | 7.07 | 4 |
| 3 | 14 | GREEN LASER | 9.6% | 10.45 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER | 9.0% | 11.12 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME | 8.8% | 11.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK | 8.4% | 11.87 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | AMAZING TEENS | 5.1% | 19.77 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT | 4.6% | 21.63 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 3.6% | 27.87 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL | 3.6% | 27.88 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | STARFIRE GEMS | 2.2% | 45.89 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | ALL IS READY | 2.0% | 51.02 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | PRAGMATISM | 1.2% | 85.65 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 1.1% | 87.80 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 61.5
PLACE
2 21
5 56.5
8 43.5
QUINELLA
2,8 462
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 194
2,8 137.5
5,8 314.5
FORECAST
2,8 996
TIERCE
2,8,5 10,915
TRIO
2,5,8 2,045
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 2,207
QUARTET
2,8,5,10 54,741
全部彩池（另 3 項）
1ST DOUBLE
9/2 1,008
9/8 333.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,11/2,5,8 1,152,915
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —