沙田 · 2023-01-29 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-01-29沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Moore策騎、J Size訓練的JUNEAU FLASH勝出，贏出1/2。INNOCONSTRUCTION獲得亞軍；CHEVAL VALIANT獲得季軍。頭馬以3.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | JUNEAU FLASH 0.57.59 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 8 | 3.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 4 | INNOCONSTRUCTION TT Z Purton · K W Lui | Z Purton | K W Lui | 7 | 3.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 3 | CHEVAL VALIANT B/H/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 12 | 7.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 9 | HUGE WIN K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 15.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | ATOMIC ENERGY TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 3 | 77.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 13 | MIGHTY VALOR CP/TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 4 | 33.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 10.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | I GIVE PC1/TT K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 9 | 11 | ACE TALENT H/TT J Melham · C Fownes | J Melham | C Fownes | 5 | 17.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | SPARKLING KNIGHT S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 2 | 19.0 | 7 |
| 11 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 11 | 67.0 | 10 |
| 12 | 7 | EASY TWO TT1 L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 10 | 43.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 12 | GREAT FOR YOU H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 9 | 62.0 | 14 |
| — | 14 | MODEST GENTLEMAN H N Wong · L Ho | H N Wong | L Ho | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | INNOCONSTRUCTION | 27.8% | 3.60 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | JUNEAU FLASH | 14.1% | 7.07 | 1 |
| 3 | 1 | SPARKLING KNIGHT | 10.7% | 9.35 | 10 |
| 4 | 3 | CHEVAL VALIANT | 9.3% | 10.73 | 3 |
| 5 | 11 | ACE TALENT | 7.7% | 13.06 | 9 |
| 6 | 10 | I GIVE | 7.4% | 13.58 | 8 |
| 7 | 9 | HUGE WIN | 6.5% | 15.35 | 4 |
| 8 | 13 | MIGHTY VALOR | 5.2% | 19.28 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | EASY TWO | 3.4% | 29.85 | 12 |
| 10 | 8 | PRECISION GOAL | 2.7% | 36.65 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | SUMMIT CHEERS | 2.3% | 43.13 | 7 |
| 12 | 6 | ATOMIC ENERGY | 1.6% | 64.24 | 5 |
| 13 | 12 | GREAT FOR YOU | 1.4% | 73.25 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 30
PLACE
3 20
4 16.5
5 14
QUINELLA
4,5 61
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 51
3,5 42.5
4,5 31.5
FORECAST
5,4 122
TIERCE
5,4,3 353
TRIO
3,4,5 125
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 323
QUARTET
5,4,3,9 3,359
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 16.5
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,9/3,4,5,14 10,398
5TH DOUBLE
9/4 56
9/5,14 212.5
TRIPLE TRIO
6,9,11/1,3,9/3,4,5,14 7,644,554
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
6,9,11/1,3,9/Any Combination 138,614