沙田 · 2023-01-29 · 16:43
第 8場
2023-01-29沙田第8場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由R Moore策騎、J Size訓練的UNPRESUMING勝出，贏出SH。WIDE BLUE YONDER獲得亞軍；GOOD NEWS獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.5倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | UNPRESUMING 後段發力 B 1.22.37 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 3 | 4.5 | SH |
| 2 | 5 | WIDE BLUE YONDER 後段發力 XB-/CP/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.1 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | GOOD NEWS 後段發力 B/TT J Melham · P F Yiu | J Melham | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 10 | INDIGENOUS REALM 後段發力 TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA 後段發力 B/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSION 後段發力 CP/SR/TT J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 4 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 1 | GLUCK RACER V Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 5 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 14 | GOLDEN FAIRY 後段發力 B/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 14 | 143.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB/TT1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 8 | KARMA TT1 L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 7.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 6 | HIGH CLOUD B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 13 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 7 | COURIER MARVEL XB/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 7 | 73.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | TRAVEL GOLF 早段領放 SR/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 159.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | UNPRESUMING | 15.1% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 1 | GLUCK RACER | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 3 | 6 | HIGH CLOUD | 13.8% | 7.24 | 12 |
| 4 | 4 | BEAUTY MISSION | 11.7% | 8.54 | 6 |
| 5 | 11 | MELBOURNE HALL | 8.8% | 11.33 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 8.2% | 12.18 | 2 |
| 7 | 12 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 7.0% | 14.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | GOOD NEWS | 6.4% | 15.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 10 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 4.2% | 23.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | KARMA | 4.0% | 25.07 | 11 |
| 11 | 7 | COURIER MARVEL | 3.1% | 32.36 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | ON EXCEL STAR | 1.4% | 71.85 | 10 |
| 13 | 2 | TRAVEL GOLF | 1.1% | 91.16 | 14 |
| 14 | 14 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 0.9% | 111.76 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 45.5
PLACE
3 30.5
5 19.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
5,9 123
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 80.5
3,9 77.5
5,9 52
FORECAST
9,5 228
TIERCE
9,5,3 1,325
TRIO
3,5,9 340
FIRST 4
3,5,9,10 587
QUARTET
9,5,3,10 8,509
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 23
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/3,5,9 802
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 27
1/9 135