Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNPRESUMING Closed strongly B 1.22.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 3 | 4.5 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER Closed strongly XB-/CP/TT H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 6 | 5.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD NEWS Closed strongly B/TT J Melham · P F Yiu | J Melham | P F Yiu | 11 | 10.0 | N |
| 4 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 8 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION Closed strongly CP/SR/TT J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 10 | 11.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL B/XB Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 4 | 25.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GLUCK RACER V Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 5 | 6.2 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY Closed strongly B/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 14 | 143.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR B/XB/TT1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 2 | 33.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | KARMA TT1 L Currie · C Fownes | L Currie | C Fownes | 1 | 7.8 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 13 | 11.0 | 8 |
| 13 | 0 | COURIER MARVEL XB/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 7 | 73.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TRAVEL GOLF Led early SR/TT C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 9 | 159.0 | 14-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. UNPRESUMING, ridden by R Moore and trained by J Size, won by SH, with WIDE BLUE YONDER second and GOOD NEWS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.5 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | UNPRESUMING | 15.1% | 6.60 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GLUCK RACER | 14.2% | 7.05 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD | 13.8% | 7.24 | 12 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY MISSION | 11.7% | 8.54 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | MELBOURNE HALL | 8.8% | 11.33 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | WIDE BLUE YONDER | 8.2% | 12.18 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 7.0% | 14.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | GOOD NEWS | 6.4% | 15.62 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | INDIGENOUS REALM | 4.2% | 23.65 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | KARMA | 4.0% | 25.07 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | COURIER MARVEL | 3.1% | 32.36 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | ON EXCEL STAR | 1.4% | 71.85 | 10 |
| 13 | 0 | TRAVEL GOLF | 1.1% | 91.16 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | GOLDEN FAIRY | 0.9% | 111.76 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 45.5
PLACE
3 30.5
5 19.5
9 17.5
QUINELLA
5,9 123
QUINELLA PLACE
3,5 80.5
3,9 77.5
5,9 52
FORECAST
9,5 228
TIERCE
9,5,3 1,325
TRIO
3,5,9 340
FIRST 4
3,5,9,10 587
QUARTET
9,5,3,10 8,509
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 23
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,3/3,5,9 802
7TH DOUBLE
1/5 27
1/9 135