Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB Closed strongly V-/TT 1.37.34 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J Melham · C Fownes | J Melham | C Fownes | 2 | 7.2 | 2-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 3 | 3.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT C Y Ho · C W Chang | C Y Ho | C W Chang | 12 | 23.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 1 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND Led early B S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 10 | 4.8 | 5-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | NORDIC STAR Closed strongly TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 7 | 28.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE Closed strongly B-/PC1 K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 33.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 9 | 11.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP H/P/XB/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 5 | 8.4 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 4 | 19.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAR SLAM L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 36.0 | 14-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | NORDIC SKY SR/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 11 | 59.0 | 21-3/4 |
| 14 | 0 | TRADER CP/TT C Wong · P C Ng | C Wong | P C Ng | 14 | 66.0 | 23 |
| — | 0 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly TT1 A Badel · K L Man | A Badel | K L Man | — | 18.0 | 11-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ROYAL BOMB, ridden by J Melham and trained by C Fownes, won by 2-1/2, with HANDSOME TWELVE second and SO WE JOY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite HANDSOME TWELVE finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 34.5% | 2.90 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TRUE LEGEND | 12.8% | 7.78 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | YES WE CAN | 9.9% | 10.12 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | BEAUTY CHAMP | 7.3% | 13.69 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | ROYAL BOMB | 6.7% | 14.94 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | WINNING DRAGON | 6.4% | 15.64 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | LEADING FORTUNE | 4.1% | 24.59 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAR SLAM | 3.8% | 26.39 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | SATIRICAL GLORY | 3.4% | 29.42 | 8 |
| 10 | 0 | SO WE JOY | 3.3% | 30.50 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | TRADER | 3.1% | 32.63 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | NORDIC STAR | 2.0% | 49.10 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | NORDIC SKY | 1.6% | 61.37 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 1.1% | 88.48 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 72
PLACE
1 16
3 65.5
9 23
QUINELLA
1,9 143
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 188
1,9 54.5
3,9 222.5
FORECAST
9,1 410
TIERCE
9,1,3 4,863
TRIO
1,3,9 1,073
FIRST 4
1,3,9,12 1,403
QUARTET
9,1,3,12 28,396
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 27
A3 —
A1 —
4TH DOUBLE
6/1 264
6/9 2,162.5