Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 17:53
Race 10
Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER DYNAMITE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with BEAUTY MISSILE second and PARTERRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite AMAZING VICTORY finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly 1.22.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 2 | 13.0 | N |
| 2 | 8 | BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly B1 J Melham · F C Lor | J Melham | F C Lor | 7 | 13.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | PARTERRE Closed strongly H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 9.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | STUNNING IMPACT B S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 9 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | BEAUTY INSPIRE Closed strongly J McDonald · J Size | J McDonald | J Size | 12 | 9.7 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY H Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 3 | 3.3 | 3/4 |
| 7 | 11 | TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 4 | 5.2 | 2 |
| 8 | 13 | JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 56.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 31.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 24.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 11 | 128.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 10.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 5 | EN POINTE CP K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 5 | 13.0 | 17-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | AMAZING VICTORY | 24.9% | 4.01 | 6 |
| 2 | 5 | EN POINTE | 13.4% | 7.44 | 13 |
| 3 | 11 | TAMRA BLITZ | 11.5% | 8.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | STUNNING IMPACT | 8.8% | 11.35 | 4 |
| 5 | 4 | SUPER DYNAMITE | 7.1% | 14.17 | 1 |
| 6 | 8 | BEAUTY MISSILE | 6.5% | 15.41 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | PARTERRE | 6.2% | 16.14 | 3 |
| 8 | 6 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 5.3% | 18.76 | 12 |
| 9 | 2 | PERFECT TEAM | 4.6% | 21.67 | 10 |
| 10 | 3 | BEAUTY INSPIRE | 4.5% | 22.27 | 5 |
| 11 | 13 | JADE PHOENIX | 4.5% | 22.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | KASA PAPA | 1.6% | 60.83 | 9 |
| 13 | 12 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 1.0% | 100.01 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 133
PLACE
4 43.5
8 42
10 27
QUINELLA
4,8 873.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,8 266
4,10 214
8,10 218.5
FORECAST
4,8 1,600
TIERCE
4,8,10 18,670
TRIO
4,8,10 3,117
FIRST 4
4,7,8,10 8,383
QUARTET
4,8,10,7 203,511
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 23
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,10,11/4,8,10 2,423,488
9TH DOUBLE
11/4 2,132.5
11/8 374
SIX UP
1,9/4,5,14/1,2/5,9/10,11/4,8 12,379
9/5,14/1/9/11/4 3,279,219
10 [J Melham] —
1 [J Size] —
TREBLE
9/11/4 15,665
9/11/8 1,930