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Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 17:53

Race 10

Class 3 GOOD 1400m Course A+3 10 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.06
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 SUPER DYNAMITE Closed strongly 1.22.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · P F Yiu 2 13.0 N
3 0 PARTERRE Closed strongly H Bentley · A T Millard 1 9.0 3/4
4 0 STUNNING IMPACT B S De Sousa · P C Ng 9 11.0 3/4
5 0 BEAUTY INSPIRE Closed strongly J McDonald · J Size 12 9.7 3/4
6 0 AMAZING VICTORY H Z Purton · L Ho 3 3.3 3/4
7 0 TAMRA BLITZ Closed strongly H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte 4 5.2 2
8 0 JADE PHOENIX Led early CP/TT K C Leung · F C Lor 8 56.0 2-1/4
11 0 CRYSTAL POWERFUL M F Poon · C S Shum 11 128.0 6-1/2
12 0 COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 10 10.0 7-3/4
13 0 EN POINTE CP K Teetan · F C Lor 5 13.0 17-1/4
— 0 BEAUTY MISSILE Closed strongly B1 J Melham · F C Lor — 13.0 N
— 0 KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT C L Chau · T P Yung — 31.0 4
— 0 PERFECT TEAM Closed strongly TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes — 24.0 4-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 10 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER DYNAMITE, ridden by H Bowman and trained by P F Yiu, won by N, with PARTERRE second and STUNNING IMPACT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite AMAZING VICTORY finished 6th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. SUPER DYNAMITE—3. PARTERRE+0.75L4. STUNNING IMPACT+0.75L5. BEAUTY INSPIRE+0.75L6. AMAZING VICTORY+0.75L7. TAMRA BLITZ+2L8. JADE PHOENIX+2.25L11. CRYSTAL POWERFUL+6.5L12. COPARTNER AMBITION+7.75L13. EN POINTE+17.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick AMAZING VICTORY (24.9%) finished 6th — the winner SUPER DYNAMITE was rated #5. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 AMAZING VICTORY 24.9% 4.01 6
2 0 EN POINTE 13.4% 7.44 13
3 0 TAMRA BLITZ 11.5% 8.68 7
4 0 STUNNING IMPACT 8.8% 11.35 4
5 0 SUPER DYNAMITE 7.1% 14.17 1
6 0 BEAUTY MISSILE 6.5% 15.41 —
7 0 PARTERRE 6.2% 16.14 3
8 0 COPARTNER AMBITION 5.3% 18.76 12
9 0 PERFECT TEAM 4.6% 21.67 —
10 0 BEAUTY INSPIRE 4.5% 22.27 5
11 0 JADE PHOENIX 4.5% 22.40 8
12 0 KASA PAPA 1.6% 60.83 —
13 0 CRYSTAL POWERFUL 1.0% 100.01 11
AMAZING VICTORYEN POINTETAMRA BLITZSTUNNING IMPACTSUPER DYNAMITE — wonBEAUTY MISSILEPARTERRECOPARTNER AMBITIONPERFECT TEAMBEAUTY INSPIREJADE PHOENIXKASA PAPACRYSTAL POWERFUL

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 133

PLACE

4 43.5

8 42

10 27

QUINELLA

4,8 873.5

QUINELLA PLACE

4,8 266

4,10 214

8,10 218.5

FORECAST

4,8 1,600

TIERCE

4,8,10 18,670

TRIO

4,8,10 3,117

FIRST 4

4,7,8,10 8,383

QUARTET

4,8,10,7 203,511

All pools (5 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 —

A3 23

5TH DOUBLE TRIO

3,10,11/4,8,10 2,423,488

9TH DOUBLE

11/4 2,132.5

11/8 374

SIX UP

1,9/4,5,14/1,2/5,9/10,11/4,8 12,379

9/5,14/1/9/11/4 3,279,219

1 [J Size] —

10 [J Melham] —

TREBLE

9/11/4 15,665

9/11/8 1,930