Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 16:08

Race 7

Group 1 GOOD 1600m Course A+3 6 runners

Result

Official · 1.33.99

Pos	Horse	Jockey	Trainer	Draw	Weight	Odds	Margin
1	GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui	C Y Ho	K W Lui	2	126 lb	2.5	1
2	ROMANTIC WARRIOR TT K Teetan · C S Shum	K Teetan	C S Shum	4	126 lb	2.0	1
3	CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz	Z Purton	A S Cruz	3	126 lb	3.9	1-1/4
4	WAIKUKU R Moore · J Size	R Moore	J Size	5	126 lb	44.0	4-3/4
6	RUSSIAN EMPEROR B H Bentley · D J Whyte	H Bentley	D J Whyte	7	126 lb	90.0	6-3/4
7	PANFIELD TT A Hamelin · A T Millard	A Hamelin	A T Millard	6	126 lb	91.0	6-3/4
—	BEAUTY JOY H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz	H Bowman	A S Cruz	—	—	43.0	4-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with ROMANTIC WARRIOR second and CALIFORNIA SPANGLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite ROMANTIC WARRIOR finished 2nd.

Race shape

Beaten lengths

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23

The model's top pick ROMANTIC WARRIOR (35.1%) finished 2nd — the winner GOLDEN SIXTY was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.

Rank	Horse	Win %	Rated price	Pos	Final odds
1	ROMANTIC WARRIOR	35.1%	2.85	2	2.0
2	CALIFORNIA SPANGLE	30.6%	3.27	3	3.9
3	GOLDEN SIXTY	22.0%	4.55	1	2.5
4	BEAUTY JOY	5.8%	17.32	—	43.0
5	WAIKUKU	2.9%	35.06	4	44.0
6	RUSSIAN EMPEROR	1.9%	52.10	6	90.0
7	PANFIELD	1.8%	55.16	7	91.0

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

1 25.5

PLACE

1 10.1

2 10.1

3 11

QUINELLA

1,2 21.5

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 11

1,3 12

2,3 12.5

FORECAST

1,2 55

TIERCE

1,2,3 73

TRIO

1,2,3 14

FIRST 4

1,2,3,4 33

QUARTET

1,2,3,4 235

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A1 —

A3 —

A2 15.5

6TH DOUBLE

5,14/1 61.5

5,14/2 10.5

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