Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 16:08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. GOLDEN SIXTY, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 1, with ROMANTIC WARRIOR second and CALIFORNIA SPANGLE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite ROMANTIC WARRIOR finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly 1.33.99 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 2.5 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 4 | 2.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Led early TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 4 | WAIKUKU R Moore · J Size | R Moore | J Size | 5 | 44.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 5 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 1 | 43.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 90.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | PANFIELD TT A Hamelin · A T Millard | A Hamelin | A T Millard | 6 | 91.0 | 6-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 35.1% | 2.85 | 2 |
| 2 | 3 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 30.6% | 3.27 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 22.0% | 4.55 | 1 |
| 4 | 6 | BEAUTY JOY | 5.8% | 17.32 | 5 |
| 5 | 4 | WAIKUKU | 2.9% | 35.06 | 4 |
| 6 | 5 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 1.9% | 52.10 | 6 |
| 7 | 7 | PANFIELD | 1.8% | 55.16 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 25.5
PLACE
1 10.1
2 10.1
3 11
QUINELLA
1,2 21.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 11
1,3 12
2,3 12.5
FORECAST
1,2 55
TIERCE
1,2,3 73
TRIO
1,2,3 14
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 33
QUARTET
1,2,3,4 235
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 15.5
A1 —
6TH DOUBLE
5,14/1 61.5
5,14/2 10.5