Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. SKYEY SUPREME, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by K W Lui, won by SH, with KILLER INSTINCT second and AMAZING TEENS third. The winner led throughout. The 2.9 favourite NICE BIRDIE finished 6th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME Wire to wire B/TT 1.39.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · K W Lui | Y L Chung | K W Lui | 3 | 6.1 | SH |
| 2 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly V1/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 11 | 13.0 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | AMAZING TEENS Closed strongly H/P/TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 10 | 23.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI Closed strongly XB/B1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 2 | 6.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER B/TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 12 | 6.1 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 7 | NICE BIRDIE Closed strongly TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 13 | 2.9 | 5-3/4 |
| 7 | 14 | GREEN LASER Closed strongly B-/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 14 | 20.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 8 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK PC/TT M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 1 | 14.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 9 | 3 | SPANGLE FORTUNE TT K C Leung · K L Man | K C Leung | K L Man | 9 | 40.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 6 | STARFIRE GEMS H1/P1/TT H Bentley · J Richards | H Bentley | J Richards | 5 | 46.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 11 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 4 | 28.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 13 | ALL IS READY B/XB H T Mo · P F Yiu | H T Mo | P F Yiu | 6 | 88.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 13 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 21.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 14 | 1 | PRAGMATISM A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 7 | 117.0 | 21-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | NICE BIRDIE | 26.8% | 3.74 | 6 |
| 2 | 10 | SUN OF MAKFI | 14.1% | 7.07 | 4 |
| 3 | 14 | GREEN LASER | 9.6% | 10.45 | 7 |
| 4 | 12 | THE MULTIPLIER | 9.0% | 11.12 | 5 |
| 5 | 2 | SKYEY SUPREME | 8.8% | 11.36 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | PEAK TO PEAK | 8.4% | 11.87 | 8 |
| 7 | 5 | AMAZING TEENS | 5.1% | 19.77 | 3 |
| 8 | 8 | KILLER INSTINCT | 4.6% | 21.63 | 2 |
| 9 | 11 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 3.6% | 27.87 | 11 |
| 10 | 4 | ALL JOYFUL | 3.6% | 27.88 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | STARFIRE GEMS | 2.2% | 45.89 | 10 |
| 12 | 13 | ALL IS READY | 2.0% | 51.02 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | PRAGMATISM | 1.2% | 85.65 | 14 |
| 14 | 3 | SPANGLE FORTUNE | 1.1% | 87.80 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 61.5
PLACE
2 21
5 56.5
8 43.5
QUINELLA
2,8 462
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 194
2,8 137.5
5,8 314.5
FORECAST
2,8 996
TIERCE
2,8,5 10,915
TRIO
2,5,8 2,045
FIRST 4
2,5,8,10 2,207
QUARTET
2,8,5,10 54,741
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
9/2 1,008
9/8 333.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
6,9,11/2,5,8 1,152,915
3 PICK 1
A1 20
A3 —
A2 —