Sha Tin · 2023-01-29 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD Closed strongly B/TT 1.39.67 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 7 | 11.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | REGENCY GEM Closed strongly V/TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 1 | 17.0 | N |
| 3 | 0 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 4 | 8.3 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · R Gibson | H Bowman | R Gibson | 12 | 5.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE PC/TT A Badel · P C Ng | A Badel | P C Ng | 2 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 6 | 8.6 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK B/TT H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 5 | 13.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | GOLD COMET Closed strongly B V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 13 | 29.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SPEED FORCE Closed strongly B S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 8 | 22.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE Closed strongly XB H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 10 | 138.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | JUBILATION V Z Purton · L Ho | Z Purton | L Ho | 3 | 3.5 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR B/TT Y L Chung · K H Ting | Y L Chung | K H Ting | 9 | 8.9 | 11-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY B1/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 14 | 50.0 | 36-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | U W BROTHER Led early P2 C Wong · Y S Tsui | C Wong | Y S Tsui | 11 | 68.0 | 37-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-29 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. RUN RUN GOOD, ridden by K Teetan and trained by K L Man, won by N, with REGENCY GEM second and EL VALIENTE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite JUBILATION finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JUBILATION | 27.2% | 3.68 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | COLOURFUL BARON | 10.0% | 9.98 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | WAH MAY LUCK | 9.3% | 10.81 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | RUN RUN GOOD | 7.6% | 13.16 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | MEDIC ELITE | 7.6% | 13.24 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | REGENCY GEM | 7.4% | 13.58 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | SPEED FORCE | 6.0% | 16.68 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | FORTUNE MARBO | 5.2% | 19.39 | 6 |
| 9 | 0 | U W BROTHER | 5.1% | 19.54 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | EL VALIENTE | 5.1% | 19.73 | 3 |
| 11 | 0 | LUCKY VICTOR | 3.0% | 33.68 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | WIN WIN CHARITY | 2.7% | 36.99 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | GOLD COMET | 2.4% | 41.01 | 8 |
| 14 | 0 | SIMPLE DOCTRINE | 1.6% | 63.79 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 117.5
PLACE
6 27
9 39
11 45.5
QUINELLA
9,11 1,010
QUINELLA PLACE
6,9 152
6,11 186.5
9,11 275.5
FORECAST
9,11 2,346
TIERCE
9,11,6 15,405
TRIO
6,9,11 1,979
FIRST 4
2,6,9,11 2,662
QUARTET
9,11,6,2 76,678
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 23