沙田 · 2023-02-05 · 17:18
第 9場
2023-02-05沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、R Gibson訓練的HAPPY TOGETHER勝出，贏出SH。POWERFUL WINGS獲得亞軍；CASA COSMO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以4.4倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER 後段發力 TT 1.34.81 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 10 | 4.4 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS 後段發力 B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | CASA COSMO 後段發力 B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 9.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY 後段發力 TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | MALDIVES 後段發力 XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ERIMO B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPY DAY 後段發力 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 11 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMANTIC CHARM TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION 早段領放 SR/V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | THE BEST PEACH H-/B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 93.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES 後段發力 B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON CP-/SB1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 13 | 66.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | IVY LEAGUE SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 14 | 113.0 | 14-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CASA COSMO | 17.2% | 5.81 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION | 16.6% | 6.01 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 10.8% | 9.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 10.5% | 9.53 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | ERIMO | 9.0% | 11.06 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 8.6% | 11.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPY DAY | 7.7% | 13.04 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 6.4% | 15.61 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | MALDIVES | 4.3% | 23.48 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES | 3.1% | 31.92 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS | 2.2% | 45.01 | 2 |
| 12 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 1.6% | 63.99 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | IVY LEAGUE | 1.0% | 103.18 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | THE BEST PEACH | 0.9% | 110.40 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 44.5
PLACE
9 18
11 61.5
13 26
QUINELLA
9,11 543.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 183.5
9,13 68.5
11,13 349.5
FORECAST
9,11 912
TIERCE
9,11,13 6,963
TRIO
9,11,13 1,771
FIRST 4
9,11,12,13 2,840
QUARTET
9,11,13,12 58,363
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 28.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/9 72.5
2/11 57.5