沙田 · 2023-02-05 · 14:04
第 3場
2023-02-05沙田第3場，Class 3，途程1000米，跑道評為GOOD。由H Bowman策騎、K L Man訓練的WE ARE HERO勝出，贏出3。QUADRUPLE DOUBLE獲得亞軍；SUPER FORTUNE獲得季軍。2.3倍大熱門SUPER FORTUNE跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WE ARE HERO V/TT 0.56.84 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 1 | 2.6 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 2.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY MISSION H/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 7 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 11 | 113.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 63.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | DECRYPT XB/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DIAMOND FLARE B1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 48.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | PARTY WARRIOR H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 3 | 53.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | LEAN MASTER TT1 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 6 | 57.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | LUCKY FUN M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 2 | SHOW RESPECT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WE ARE HERO | 38.6% | 2.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE | 11.5% | 8.70 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 8.6% | 11.69 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 8.3% | 11.99 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 6.5% | 15.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY MISSION | 5.6% | 17.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | DECRYPT | 5.0% | 20.17 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY FUN | 4.4% | 22.64 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | DIAMOND FLARE | 3.5% | 28.21 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | LEAN MASTER | 3.2% | 30.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | PARTY WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.33 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.5% | 68.19 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 1.1% | 92.19 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 26
PLACE
3 12
4 13
5 31.5
QUINELLA
4,5 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 18.5
3,5 50
4,5 65
FORECAST
4,5 262
TIERCE
4,5,3 728
TRIO
3,4,5 112
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 288
QUARTET
4,5,3,6 5,129
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
11/4 48
11/5 63.5
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —