沙田 · 2023-02-05 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-02-05沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由M F Poon策騎、C S Shum訓練的SUPREME LUCKY勝出，贏出1-3/4。BRAVE DREAMS獲得亞軍；MODULECONSTRUCTION獲得季軍。頭馬以1.6倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPREME LUCKY TT 1.09.44 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 4 | 1.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 8 | 6.1 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 7 | MODULECONSTRUCTION H1/TT1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 38.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 3 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER TT S De Sousa · P F Yiu | S De Sousa | P F Yiu | 13 | 8.5 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | MULTIDARLING C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 50.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT B K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 6 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 4 | FARIBAULT B Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 14 | 21.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 6 | M UNICORN H/TT H Bentley · C Fownes | H Bentley | C Fownes | 2 | 59.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 5 | RED TITAN TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 12 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 14 | SPEEDSTAR B A Badel · D J Hall | A Badel | D J Hall | 3 | 26.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 11 | SUPER MAGIC B L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 11 | 136.0 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | HERCULES B/TT V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 7 | 110.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 13 | KOWLOON EAST STAR H/SR/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 5 | 78.0 | 10-1/2 |
| 14 | 10 | PERFECT ROCK B H W Lai · Y S Tsui | H W Lai | Y S Tsui | 9 | 189.0 | 11 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | SUPREME LUCKY | 25.0% | 4.00 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS | 21.3% | 4.70 | 2 |
| 3 | 3 | EXCELLENT FIGHTER | 15.2% | 6.59 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | FARIBAULT | 7.7% | 13.05 | 7 |
| 5 | 7 | MODULECONSTRUCTION | 6.5% | 15.39 | 3 |
| 6 | 12 | KING OF THE COURT | 6.1% | 16.39 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | SPEEDSTAR | 4.5% | 22.20 | 10 |
| 8 | 5 | RED TITAN | 4.0% | 24.92 | 9 |
| 9 | 8 | MULTIDARLING | 3.4% | 29.48 | 5 |
| 10 | 13 | KOWLOON EAST STAR | 1.8% | 55.34 | 13 |
| 11 | 6 | M UNICORN | 1.8% | 55.66 | 8 |
| 12 | 9 | HERCULES | 1.4% | 70.63 | 12 |
| 13 | 11 | SUPER MAGIC | 0.7% | 143.28 | 11 |
| 14 | 10 | PERFECT ROCK | 0.6% | 158.39 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
1 16
PLACE
1 10.5
2 17.5
7 76
QUINELLA
1,2 44
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 22
1,7 94
2,7 231
FORECAST
1,2 64
TIERCE
1,2,7 1,171
TRIO
1,2,7 294
FIRST 4
1,2,3,7 503
QUARTET
1,2,7,3 6,271
全部彩池（另 5 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,7/1,2,7 24,863
5TH DOUBLE
4/1 109
4/2 61
TRIPLE TRIO
1,3,4,6,13/3,4,7/1,2,7 123,393
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,3,4,6,13/3,4,7/Any Combination 377