Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 14:04
Race 3
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WE ARE HERO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by 3, with QUADRUPLE DOUBLE second and SUPER FORTUNE third. The 2.3 favourite SUPER FORTUNE finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WE ARE HERO V/TT 0.56.84 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 1 | 2.6 | 3 |
| 2 | 5 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE B/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 14 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 10 | 2.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 6 | HAPPY MISSION H/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 7 | 22.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 5 | 14 | SAVVY DELIGHT P/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 13 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO XB L Currie · R Gibson | L Currie | R Gibson | 11 | 113.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL PC H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 5 | 19.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 13 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 12 | 63.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 9 | 10 | DECRYPT XB/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 37.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DIAMOND FLARE B1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 2 | 48.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 7 | PARTY WARRIOR H H N Wong · K W Lui | H N Wong | K W Lui | 3 | 53.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | LEAN MASTER TT1 L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 6 | 57.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 8 | LUCKY FUN M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 26.0 | 9-1/4 |
| — | 2 | SHOW RESPECT A Badel · D J Whyte | A Badel | D J Whyte | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | WE ARE HERO | 38.6% | 2.59 | 1 |
| 2 | 3 | SUPER FORTUNE | 11.5% | 8.70 | 3 |
| 3 | 14 | SAVVY DELIGHT | 8.6% | 11.69 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | RUN RUN COOL | 8.3% | 11.99 | 7 |
| 5 | 5 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 6.5% | 15.31 | 2 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY MISSION | 5.6% | 17.92 | 4 |
| 7 | 10 | DECRYPT | 5.0% | 20.17 | 9 |
| 8 | 8 | LUCKY FUN | 4.4% | 22.64 | 13 |
| 9 | 11 | DIAMOND FLARE | 3.5% | 28.21 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | LEAN MASTER | 3.2% | 30.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 7 | PARTY WARRIOR | 2.2% | 45.33 | 11 |
| 12 | 13 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.5% | 68.19 | 8 |
| 13 | 9 | TALENTS SUPREMO | 1.1% | 92.19 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 26
PLACE
3 12
4 13
5 31.5
QUINELLA
4,5 179.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 18.5
3,5 50
4,5 65
FORECAST
4,5 262
TIERCE
4,5,3 728
TRIO
3,4,5 112
FIRST 4
3,4,5,6 288
QUARTET
4,5,3,6 5,129
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
11/4 48
11/5 63.5
3 PICK 1
A1 12.5
A2 —
A3 —