Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 16:08
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SENOR TOBA Closed strongly V-/TT 1.48.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 3 | 4.2 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 6 | 2.4 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | KA YING STAR V/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 8.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON Closed strongly TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 2 | 12.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 1 | 13.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER Led early S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 4 | 3.5 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Group 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SENOR TOBA, ridden by H Bowman and trained by C Fownes, won by 3/4, with RUNNING GLORY second and KA YING STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite RUNNING GLORY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 54.5% | 1.83 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | LOOKING GREAT | 15.0% | 6.69 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SENOR TOBA | 13.4% | 7.49 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 6.4% | 15.69 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 6.0% | 16.64 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | GLORIOUS DRAGON | 4.8% | 20.81 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 42.5
PLACE
2 19.5
5 16
QUINELLA
2,5 52
FORECAST
2,5 136
TIERCE
2,5,4 567
TRIO
2,4,5 104
FIRST 4
1,2,4,5 168
QUARTET
2,5,4,1 2,653
6TH DOUBLE
1/2 71.5
1/5 10.5