Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 14:36
Race 4
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SIXTH GENERATION, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by J Richards, won by 2-3/4, with D STAR second and DRAGON DELIGHT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT 1.22.32 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 3 | 2.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 2 | 6 | D STAR B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 5.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 3 | 4 | DRAGON DELIGHT Closed strongly Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 4 | 6.3 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON Closed strongly L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 8 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 5 | 9 | STRATHPEFFER Closed strongly H/SR M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 11 | 114.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER Closed strongly B- L Currie · W Y So | L Currie | W Y So | 13 | 19.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 14 | SO YOU TRUST B-/TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 1 | 50.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL V K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 14.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | JUST GREAT TWO B L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 12 | 113.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | INNO TECH WINNER Led early B1 H T Mo · T P Yung | H T Mo | T P Yung | 2 | 115.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 11 | 7 | BROTHER PEARL B V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 9 | 139.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 10 | 13.0 | 14 |
| — | 1 | PUBLICIST K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | — | — | — |
| — | 3 | DARING PURSUIT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | SIXTH GENERATION | 29.6% | 3.38 | 1 |
| 2 | 6 | D STAR | 14.2% | 7.05 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 13.9% | 7.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 4 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 10.7% | 9.33 | 3 |
| 5 | 5 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 9.3% | 10.70 | 12 |
| 6 | 10 | SURE JOYFUL | 8.4% | 11.94 | 8 |
| 7 | 11 | GENERAL WINNER | 4.5% | 22.17 | 6 |
| 8 | 14 | SO YOU TRUST | 3.6% | 27.63 | 7 |
| 9 | 8 | INNO TECH WINNER | 2.0% | 50.84 | 10 |
| 10 | 12 | JUST GREAT TWO | 1.5% | 67.97 | 9 |
| 11 | 9 | STRATHPEFFER | 1.3% | 76.08 | 5 |
| 12 | 7 | BROTHER PEARL | 1.0% | 98.67 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 20.5
PLACE
4 21
6 17.5
13 11
QUINELLA
6,13 47.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,6 57
4,13 33.5
6,13 22.5
FORECAST
13,6 92
TIERCE
13,6,4 337
TRIO
4,6,13 103
FIRST 4
2,4,6,13 93
QUARTET
13,6,4,2 1,153
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
5>2,3,4/1,3,4,6,13 590
3 PICK 1
A1 20.5
A2 —
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
4/1,3,13 47
4/6 41