Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT 1.22.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 12 | 14.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly V/XB/TT S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 14 | 4.2 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | CHIRON Closed strongly CP/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 1 | 11.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | QUORUM Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · R Gibson | L Hewitson | R Gibson | 6 | 10.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | HUNKY DORY B/TT V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 3 | 54.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD Closed strongly L Ferraris · C W Chang | L Ferraris | C W Chang | 4 | 11.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | HO HO JUNIOR Closed strongly C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 11 | 19.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | ENCORE TT K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 9 | 13.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 10 | 30.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | EASY LIFE Closed strongly B/H1/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 8 | 94.0 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | PRINCE OF BON BON Led early B/XB H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 5 | 122.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SEA MONARCH TT M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 2 | 24.0 | 10-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | NOIR RIDER B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 13 | 40.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 7 | 2.6 | 13-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ERNEST FEELING, ridden by A Hamelin and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/2, with ASIAN ONE second and CHIRON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite BEAUTY NOVA finished 14th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 27.6% | 3.62 | 14 |
| 2 | 0 | ASIAN ONE | 15.4% | 6.49 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ENCORE | 9.8% | 10.20 | 8 |
| 4 | 0 | ONE STEP AHEAD | 6.5% | 15.27 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | QUORUM | 6.5% | 15.32 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HO HO JUNIOR | 5.8% | 17.11 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SPICY SKEWER | 5.4% | 18.48 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | CHIRON | 4.8% | 20.84 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | ERNEST FEELING | 4.5% | 22.21 | 1 |
| 10 | 0 | NOIR RIDER | 3.6% | 28.10 | 13 |
| 11 | 0 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 3.2% | 31.03 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 2.5% | 40.18 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | HUNKY DORY | 2.2% | 44.91 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | EASY LIFE | 2.0% | 49.23 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
13 143.5
PLACE
2 21.5
4 29
13 41.5
QUINELLA
2,13 382
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 114.5
2,13 123
4,13 254
FORECAST
13,2 1,174
TIERCE
13,2,4 10,328
TRIO
2,4,13 1,326
FIRST 4
2,4,10,13 2,273
QUARTET
13,2,4,10 59,229
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 20.5
A2 —
A1 —