Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PERFETTO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with DARCI JOY second and GOLD TACK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PERFETTO Closed strongly 1.35.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 2 | 2.0 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 7 | 9.2 | 2 |
| 3 | 8 | GOLD TACK Closed strongly A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 6 | 13.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 6 | PALACE PAL Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 10 | 19.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 2 | THE HULK Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 4 | 14.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 6 | 14 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly B/H/TT1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 13 | 71.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 3 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 5 | 11.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 10 | MACH TEN CP C Y Ho · P F Yiu | C Y Ho | P F Yiu | 11 | 8.2 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 13 | HA LEE CHARM TT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 9 | 30.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY Led early B Y L Chung · F C Lor | Y L Chung | F C Lor | 12 | 9.9 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 8 | 168.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | KA YING GLORIOUS CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 1 | 79.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 14 | 127.0 | 12 |
| 14 | 4 | BULB DRAGON B1/XB1/TT1 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 3 | 42.0 | 20-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | PERFETTO | 44.2% | 2.26 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | THE HULK | 11.3% | 8.81 | 5 |
| 3 | 3 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 7.9% | 12.61 | 7 |
| 4 | 6 | PALACE PAL | 5.7% | 17.57 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY | 4.9% | 20.34 | 10 |
| 6 | 14 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 4.8% | 20.68 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | DARCI JOY | 4.5% | 22.02 | 2 |
| 8 | 10 | MACH TEN | 4.3% | 23.19 | 8 |
| 9 | 8 | GOLD TACK | 3.4% | 29.72 | 3 |
| 10 | 4 | BULB DRAGON | 3.0% | 33.09 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | SMART BEAUTY | 1.9% | 52.03 | 13 |
| 12 | 13 | HA LEE CHARM | 1.9% | 53.96 | 9 |
| 13 | 7 | CLASSIC ARCHI | 1.1% | 92.28 | 11 |
| 14 | 9 | KA YING GLORIOUS | 1.0% | 102.78 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
11 20
PLACE
5 25
8 42
11 12
QUINELLA
5,11 87.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,8 246
5,11 40
8,11 102
FORECAST
11,5 190
TIERCE
11,5,8 2,204
TRIO
5,8,11 806
FIRST 4
5,6,8,11 1,479
QUARTET
11,5,8,6 17,863
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
13/5 221.5
13/11 528.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,13/5,8,11 85,687
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 17.5