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Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 13:31

Race 2

Class 4 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.35.24
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 PERFETTO Closed strongly 1.35.24 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall 2 2.0 2
2 0 DARCI JOY Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · P F Yiu 7 9.2 2
3 0 GOLD TACK Closed strongly A Badel · A T Millard 6 13.0 4
4 0 PALACE PAL Closed strongly B- L Hewitson · T P Yung 10 19.0 4-1/4
5 0 THE HULK Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes 4 14.0 4-3/4
6 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly B/H/TT1 C L Chau · P C Ng 13 71.0 6-1/4
7 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly CP/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng 5 11.0 6-1/2
8 0 MACH TEN CP C Y Ho · P F Yiu 11 8.2 6-3/4
9 0 HA LEE CHARM TT L Currie · J Size 9 30.0 7-1/2
10 0 OSCAR GLORY Led early B Y L Chung · F C Lor 12 9.9 8-1/4
11 0 CLASSIC ARCHI Closed strongly SR/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte 8 168.0 8-3/4
12 0 KA YING GLORIOUS CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes 1 79.0 11-1/4
13 0 SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz 14 127.0 12
14 0 BULB DRAGON B1/XB1/TT1 A Hamelin · C H Yip 3 42.0 20-3/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. PERFETTO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 2, with DARCI JOY second and GOLD TACK third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PERFETTO—2. DARCI JOY+2L3. GOLD TACK+4L4. PALACE PAL+4.25L5. THE HULK+4.75L6. STARSHIP EIGHTY+6.25L7. TURQUOISE ALPHA+6.5L8. MACH TEN+6.75L9. HA LEE CHARM+7.5L10. OSCAR GLORY+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick PERFETTO (44.2%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 PERFETTO 44.2% 2.26 1
2 0 THE HULK 11.3% 8.81 5
3 0 TURQUOISE ALPHA 7.9% 12.61 7
4 0 PALACE PAL 5.7% 17.57 4
5 0 OSCAR GLORY 4.9% 20.34 10
6 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY 4.8% 20.68 6
7 0 DARCI JOY 4.5% 22.02 2
8 0 MACH TEN 4.3% 23.19 8
9 0 GOLD TACK 3.4% 29.72 3
10 0 BULB DRAGON 3.0% 33.09 14
11 0 SMART BEAUTY 1.9% 52.03 13
12 0 HA LEE CHARM 1.9% 53.96 9
13 0 CLASSIC ARCHI 1.1% 92.28 11
14 0 KA YING GLORIOUS 1.0% 102.78 12
PERFETTO — wonTHE HULKTURQUOISE ALPHAPALACE PALOSCAR GLORYSTARSHIP EIGHTYDARCI JOYMACH TENGOLD TACKBULB DRAGONSMART BEAUTYHA LEE CHARMCLASSIC ARCHIKA YING GLORIOUS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

11 20

PLACE

5 25

8 42

11 12

QUINELLA

5,11 87.5

QUINELLA PLACE

5,8 246

5,11 40

8,11 102

FORECAST

11,5 190

TIERCE

11,5,8 2,204

TRIO

5,8,11 806

FIRST 4

5,6,8,11 1,479

QUARTET

11,5,8,6 17,863

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

13/5 221.5

13/11 528.5

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

2,4,13/5,8,11 85,687

3 PICK 1

A3 —

A1 17.5

A2 —