Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | WELLINGTON XB A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 5 | 3.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS E V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 2 | 8.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | COURIER WONDER H L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 4 | 27.0 | 2 |
| 5 | 0 | SKY FIELD TT H Bowman · C Fownes | H Bowman | C Fownes | 6 | 16.0 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER WEALTHY CP- L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 1 | 45.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | DUKE WAI V H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 3 | 44.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 7 | 27.0 | 6-1/2 |
| — | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | — | 1.7 | 1-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Group 1 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WELLINGTON, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by 1-1/2, with SIGHT SUCCESS second and COURIER WONDER third. The 1.7 favourite LUCKY SWEYNESSE did not finish.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LUCKY SWEYNESSE | 52.6% | 1.90 | — |
| 2 | 0 | WELLINGTON | 14.1% | 7.08 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SIGHT SUCCESS | 11.2% | 8.92 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY FIELD | 9.8% | 10.18 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | MASTER EIGHT | 3.8% | 26.39 | 8 |
| 6 | 0 | DUKE WAI | 3.2% | 30.85 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER WEALTHY | 3.0% | 33.05 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | COURIER WONDER | 2.2% | 45.59 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 17
PLACE
1 13
2 10.1
3 20
QUINELLA
1,2 25
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 14.5
1,3 31
2,3 24.5
FORECAST
2,1 40
TIERCE
2,1,3 115
TRIO
1,2,3 40
FIRST 4
1,2,3,6 131
QUARTET
2,1,3,6 832
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 11
A3 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
2,4,5/1,2,3 750
7TH DOUBLE
2/1 19
2/2 88