Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 17:18
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with POWERFUL WINGS second and CASA COSMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT 1.34.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 10 | 4.4 | SH |
| 2 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 8 | 21.0 | SH |
| 3 | 13 | CASA COSMO Closed strongly B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 2 | 9.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 1 | 7.5 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 10 | MALDIVES Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D J Hall | L Ferraris | D J Hall | 6 | 14.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 1 | ERIMO B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 3 | 7.8 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 11 | 7.9 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 7.8 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | ROMANTIC CHARM TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum | K Teetan | C S Shum | 5 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V C Y Ho · F C Lor | C Y Ho | F C Lor | 7 | 9.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 2 | THE BEST PEACH H-/B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 9 | 93.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting | K C Leung | K H Ting | 12 | 23.0 | 4 |
| 13 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON CP-/SB1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 13 | 66.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 14 | 3 | IVY LEAGUE SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 14 | 113.0 | 14-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 13 | CASA COSMO | 17.2% | 5.81 | 3 |
| 2 | 7 | MASSIVE ACTION | 16.6% | 6.01 | 10 |
| 3 | 12 | CIRCUIT MIGHTY | 10.8% | 9.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 5 | DROMBEG BANNER | 10.5% | 9.53 | 8 |
| 5 | 1 | ERIMO | 9.0% | 11.06 | 6 |
| 6 | 9 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 8.6% | 11.56 | 1 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPY DAY | 7.7% | 13.04 | 7 |
| 8 | 4 | ROMANTIC CHARM | 6.4% | 15.61 | 9 |
| 9 | 10 | MALDIVES | 4.3% | 23.48 | 5 |
| 10 | 8 | CELTIC TIMES | 3.1% | 31.92 | 12 |
| 11 | 11 | POWERFUL WINGS | 2.2% | 45.01 | 2 |
| 12 | 6 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 1.6% | 63.99 | 13 |
| 13 | 3 | IVY LEAGUE | 1.0% | 103.18 | 14 |
| 14 | 2 | THE BEST PEACH | 0.9% | 110.40 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 44.5
PLACE
9 18
11 61.5
13 26
QUINELLA
9,11 543.5
QUINELLA PLACE
9,11 183.5
9,13 68.5
11,13 349.5
FORECAST
9,11 912
TIERCE
9,11,13 6,963
TRIO
9,11,13 1,771
FIRST 4
9,11,12,13 2,840
QUARTET
9,11,13,12 58,363
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 28.5
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
2/9 72.5
2/11 57.5