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Sha Tin · 2023-02-05 · 17:18

Race 9

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course B+2 12 runners

Result

Official · 1.34.81
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT 1.34.81 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) A Badel · R Gibson 10 4.4 SH
2 0 POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B H Bentley · P F Yiu 8 21.0 SH
3 0 CASA COSMO Closed strongly B/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards 2 9.0 1/2
4 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · K L Man 1 7.5 1-1/2
5 0 MALDIVES Closed strongly XB L Ferraris · D J Hall 6 14.0 1-3/4
6 0 ERIMO B H Bowman · J Size 3 7.8 2-1/4
7 0 HAPPY DAY Closed strongly L Hewitson · W Y So 11 7.9 2-1/2
9 0 ROMANTIC CHARM TT1 K Teetan · C S Shum 5 15.0 3-1/2
10 0 MASSIVE ACTION Led early SR/V C Y Ho · F C Lor 7 9.6 3-1/2
11 0 THE BEST PEACH H-/B1/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 9 93.0 3-3/4
12 0 CELTIC TIMES Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · K H Ting 12 23.0 4
13 0 STRAIGHT ARRON CP-/SB1 L Currie · D A Hayes 13 66.0 4-1/2
— 0 DROMBEG BANNER C L Chau · P C Ng — 7.8 3
— 0 IVY LEAGUE SR/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte — 113.0 14-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2023-02-05 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with POWERFUL WINGS second and CASA COSMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 4.4 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HAPPY TOGETHER—2. POWERFUL WINGS+0.1L3. CASA COSMO+0.5L4. CIRCUIT MIGHTY+1.5L5. MALDIVES+1.75L6. ERIMO+2.25L7. HAPPY DAY+2.5L9. ROMANTIC CHARM+3.5L10. MASSIVE ACTION+3.5L11. THE BEST PEACH+3.75L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick CASA COSMO (17.2%) finished 3rd — the winner HAPPY TOGETHER was rated #6. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 CASA COSMO 17.2% 5.81 3
2 0 MASSIVE ACTION 16.6% 6.01 10
3 0 CIRCUIT MIGHTY 10.8% 9.22 4
4 0 DROMBEG BANNER 10.5% 9.53 —
5 0 ERIMO 9.0% 11.06 6
6 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 8.6% 11.56 1
7 0 HAPPY DAY 7.7% 13.04 7
8 0 ROMANTIC CHARM 6.4% 15.61 9
9 0 MALDIVES 4.3% 23.48 5
10 0 CELTIC TIMES 3.1% 31.92 12
11 0 POWERFUL WINGS 2.2% 45.01 2
12 0 STRAIGHT ARRON 1.6% 63.99 13
13 0 IVY LEAGUE 1.0% 103.18 —
14 0 THE BEST PEACH 0.9% 110.40 11
CASA COSMOMASSIVE ACTIONCIRCUIT MIGHTYDROMBEG BANNERERIMOHAPPY TOGETHER — wonHAPPY DAYROMANTIC CHARMMALDIVESCELTIC TIMESPOWERFUL WINGSSTRAIGHT ARRONIVY LEAGUETHE BEST PEACH

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

9 44.5

PLACE

9 18

11 61.5

13 26

QUINELLA

9,11 543.5

QUINELLA PLACE

9,11 183.5

9,13 68.5

11,13 349.5

FORECAST

9,11 912

TIERCE

9,11,13 6,963

TRIO

9,11,13 1,771

FIRST 4

9,11,12,13 2,840

QUARTET

9,11,13,12 58,363

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 28.5

A3 —

8TH DOUBLE

2/9 72.5

2/11 57.5